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. 2009 Nov;70(6):971–981. doi: 10.15288/jsad.2009.70.971

Table 3.

Effect estimates from path analysis with specific types of adversity (Model 2)

Outcome Early use
Substance-use disorder
Predictor B (95% CI) Std β z P B (95% CI) Std β z P
Gender (male)
 Direct 0.63 (0.52, 0.74) .30 10.89 <.001 0.74 (0.59, 0.90) .33 9.41 <.001
 Indirect (via early use) 0.26 (0.21, 0.32) .12 9.15 <.001
Tribe (Northern Plains)
 Direct 0.56 (0.44, 0.67) .26 9.49 <.001 0.32 (0.18, 0.47) .14 4.28 <.001
 Indirect (via early use) 0.23 (0.18, 0.29) .10 8.20 <.001
G × T (Northern Plains male)
 Direct −0.32 (−0.49, −0.16) −.13 −3.84 <.001 −0.45 (−0.65, −0.24) −.18 −4.31 <.001
 Indirect (via early use) −0.13 (−0.21, −0.06) −.05 −3.73 <.001
Early adversitya
 Major childhood event
  Direct 0.04 (0.01, 0.07) .06 3.05 .002 0.07 (0.04, 0.11) .11 4.62 <.001
  Indirect (via early use) 0.02 (0.006, 0.03) .03 3.00 .003
 Trauma
  Direct 0.06 (0.02, 0.11) .07 3.08 .002 0.08 (0.04, 0.13) .09 3.77 <.001
  Indirect (via early use) 0.03 (0.01, 0.04) .03 3.03 .002
 Witnessed violence
  Direct 0.06 (0.02, 0.10) .07 2.91 .004 0.08 (0.03, 0.12) .09 3.48 .001
  Indirect (via early use) 0.03 (0.008, 0.04) .03 2.87 .004
 Traumatic news
  Direct 0.02 (−0.04, 0.08) .01 0.67 .501 0.06 (−0.01, 0.13) .04 1.66 .098
  Indirect (via early use) 0.008 (−0.02, 0.03) .005 0.67 .501
 Untimely significant deaths
  Direct 0.03 (−0.01, 0.08) .03 1.52 .129 0.03 (−0.03, 0.08) .02 0.92 .356
  Indirect (via early use) 0.01 (−0.004, 0.03) .01 1.51 .131
Early useb 0.42 (0.37, 0.47) .40 16.56 <.001
R2 .11 .34

Notes: B = unstandardized estimate; 95% CI=lower and upper bounds of 95% confidence interval; Std β = standardized estimate; z = estimate/ standard error; p = probability that true value is 0; G × T = Gender × tribe.

a

Scored to reflect the age of first adversity exposure: 0 = not before age 18 or subsequent to onset of substance use, 1 = 14–17 years of age, 2 = 10–13 years of age, 3 = 6–9 years of age, and 4 = before age 6;

b

0 if no substance use was reported before age 18, 1 if substance use was initiated after age 13 and before age 18, 2 if it was initiated between 10 and 13, and 3 if initiation was before age 9.