Table 8.

Bivariate and multivariate probit regression models of change in institutional, socio-economic and reproductive behaviour factors on stalled fertility decline at the regional level in Eastern Africa. *p < 0.10; **p < 0.05; ***p < 0.001.

	crude effect	family planning service environment	socio-economic	reproductive	overall
change in unwanted fertility	1.34	1.85
change in use of public service	−0.07	2.47
change in proportion approving family planning	−11.35***	−14.81***			−12.71***
change in unmet need for family planning	0.86	3.50
change in proportion of hearing family planning information on radio	0.25
change in proportion of women living in urban areas	−1.16		−1.01
change in proportion of women with secondary+ education	−3.64		−1.91
change in proportion of women in professional work	−1.70		−0.95
change in proportion of women living in a poor household	−1.04		−1.48
change in ideal number of children	8.37**			16.09**	1.89
change in contraceptive use	−0.60			0.58
change in adolescent fertility	5.53***			5.39***	7.64**
change in proportion of women in union	14.42***			15.12	0.18
_const		−0.43	−0.15	0.23	−11.17
log pseudolikelihood		−4.30	−15.46	−9.43	−4
Wald chi-square		9.62**	9.26*	17.14***	9.97**
R2		0.57	0.25	0.54	0.60