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. 2009 Dec 17;1:RRN1137. [Version 1] doi: 10.1371/currents.RRN1137
  No Intervention
Expected
30% Coverage
Expected
30% Coverage
Incremental
Base Case
Cases 2,785,259 1,399,598 -1,385,661
Hospitalizations 1,670 817 -853
Deaths 67 32 -35
Total Cost 153,899,207 194,790,418 40,891,211
QALYs (undiscounted) 124,932,891 124,957,756 24,864
ICER (Cost/QALY)     1,645
Sensitivity Analysis: Ratio 1/60
Cases 2,785,259 1,399,598 -1,385,661
Hospitalizations 2,783 1,362 -1,421
Deaths 111 53 -58
Total Cost 160,787,889 198,140,762 37,352,874
QALYs (undiscounted) 124,932,053 124,957,349 25,296
ICER (Cost/QALY)     1,477
Sensitivity Analysis: Ratio 1/200
Cases 2,785,259 1,399,598 -1,385,661
Hospitalizations 835 409 -426
Deaths 33 16 -17
Total Cost 148,732,696 192,277,660 43,544,964
QALYs (undiscounted) 124,933,520 124,958,061 24,541
ICER (Cost/QALY)     1,774
Sensitivity Analysis: lower vaccine program effectiveness
Cases 2,785,259 2,099,397 -685,863
Hospitalizations 1,670 1,226 -444
Deaths 67 48 -19
Total Cost 153,899,207 233,374,308 79,475,101
QALYs (undiscounted) 124,932,891 124,945,440 12,549
ICER (Cost/QALY)     6,333
Sensitivity Analysis: high vaccination cost ($50 per person)
Cases 2,785,259 1,399,598 -1,385,661
Hospitalizations 1,670 817 -853
Deaths 67 32 -35
Total Cost 153,899,207 273,205,510 119,306,303
QALYs (undiscounted) 124,932,891 124,957,756 24,864
ICER (Cost/QALY)     4,798