No Intervention
Expected |
30% Coverage
Expected |
30% Coverage
Incremental |
|
Base Case | |||
Cases | 2,785,259 | 1,399,598 | -1,385,661 |
Hospitalizations | 1,670 | 817 | -853 |
Deaths | 67 | 32 | -35 |
Total Cost | 153,899,207 | 194,790,418 | 40,891,211 |
QALYs (undiscounted) | 124,932,891 | 124,957,756 | 24,864 |
ICER (Cost/QALY) | 1,645 | ||
Sensitivity Analysis: Ratio 1/60 | |||
Cases | 2,785,259 | 1,399,598 | -1,385,661 |
Hospitalizations | 2,783 | 1,362 | -1,421 |
Deaths | 111 | 53 | -58 |
Total Cost | 160,787,889 | 198,140,762 | 37,352,874 |
QALYs (undiscounted) | 124,932,053 | 124,957,349 | 25,296 |
ICER (Cost/QALY) | 1,477 | ||
Sensitivity Analysis: Ratio 1/200 | |||
Cases | 2,785,259 | 1,399,598 | -1,385,661 |
Hospitalizations | 835 | 409 | -426 |
Deaths | 33 | 16 | -17 |
Total Cost | 148,732,696 | 192,277,660 | 43,544,964 |
QALYs (undiscounted) | 124,933,520 | 124,958,061 | 24,541 |
ICER (Cost/QALY) | 1,774 | ||
Sensitivity Analysis: lower vaccine program effectiveness | |||
Cases | 2,785,259 | 2,099,397 | -685,863 |
Hospitalizations | 1,670 | 1,226 | -444 |
Deaths | 67 | 48 | -19 |
Total Cost | 153,899,207 | 233,374,308 | 79,475,101 |
QALYs (undiscounted) | 124,932,891 | 124,945,440 | 12,549 |
ICER (Cost/QALY) | 6,333 | ||
Sensitivity Analysis: high vaccination cost ($50 per person) | |||
Cases | 2,785,259 | 1,399,598 | -1,385,661 |
Hospitalizations | 1,670 | 817 | -853 |
Deaths | 67 | 32 | -35 |
Total Cost | 153,899,207 | 273,205,510 | 119,306,303 |
QALYs (undiscounted) | 124,932,891 | 124,957,756 | 24,864 |
ICER (Cost/QALY) | 4,798 |