Table 3.
Effects of risk factors for elevated K10 score at 12 months postpartum and hierarchical multivariate modelling based on theorised causal pathway from near miss through economic difficulties, poor physical health and deteriorated marital relationships
| Crude
|
Adjusteda |
Model 1b |
Model 2c |
Model 3d |
Model 4e |
|||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exposure | Regression coefficient (95% CI) | P | Regression coefficient (95% CI) | P | Regression coefficient (95% CI) | P | Regression coefficient (95% CI) | P | Regression coefficient (95% CI) | P | Regression coefficient (95% CI) | P |
| Delivery outcomef | ||||||||||||
| Near miss with live baby | 0.22 (-0.76 to 1.20) | 0.657 | 0.59 (-0.40 to 1.59) | 0.444 | 0.59 (-0.40 to 1.59) | 0.444 | 0.41 (-0.60 to 1.43) | 0.422 | 0.37 (-0.63 to 1.36) | 0.471 | 0.40 (-0.59 to 1.39) | 0.429 |
| Near miss with baby loss
|
2.71 (1.16 to 4.26)
|
0.001
|
1.93 (0.39 to 3.47)
|
0.014
|
1.93 (0.39 to 3.47)
|
0.014
|
1.68 (0.12 to 3.24)
|
0.036
|
1.53 (-0.01 to 3.08)
|
0.052
|
1.28 (-0.26 to 2.82)
|
0.103
|
| Economics: any chronic debt (unpaid at 6 or 12 months)
|
1.82 (0.56 to 3.09)
|
0.005
|
1.52 (0.23 to 2.81)
|
0.021
|
1.12 (-0.16 to 2.41)
|
0.088
|
1.01 (-0.26 to 2.28)
|
0.118
|
1.11 (-0.15 to 2.37)
|
0.084
|
||
| Health: self-reported serious illness at 6 or 12 months postpartum
|
2.21 (1.33 to 3.08)
|
<0.001
|
1.97 (1.08 to 2.85)
|
<0.001
|
1.85 (0.98 to 2.72)
|
<0.001
|
1.71 (0.84 to 2.58)
|
<0.001
|
||||
| Social relationships: abuse from partner within 6 months of pregnancy end | 2.03 (1.13 to 2.92) | <0.001 | 1.54 (0.64 to 2.44) | 0.001 | 1.27 (0.40 to 2.14) | 0.005 | ||||||
a. Reference group is women with uncomplicated deliveries.
b. Model 1: delivery status plus potential confounding factors.
c. Model 2: Model 1 plus unpaid hospital debts at 6 or 12 months postpartum.
d. Model 3: Model 2 plus self-reported serious illness at 6 or 12 months postpartum.
e. Model 4: Model 3 plus new spousal abuse in the first 6 months postpartum.
f. Adjusted for 6 month depressive group (K10≥14), parity, marital status, wealth quintile and hospital of recruitment.