Table 1.
Odds ratios and area under receiver operating characteristics curve for Cambridge type 2 diabetes risk score, Framingham offspring type 2 diabetes risk score, and genetic risk scores alone and in combination in Whitehall II study
Risk model | Odds ratio* (95% CI) | Area under receiver operating characteristics curve (95% CI) | Detection rate for 5% false positive rate | Detection rate for 10% false positive rate |
---|---|---|---|---|
Cambridge risk score | 8.4 (5.1 to 13.9) | 0.72 (0.69 to 0.76) | 19.7 (14.1 to 25.3) | 34.2 (27.5 to 40.9) |
Framingham offspring risk score | 18.2 (9.8 to 33.8) | 0.78 (0.75 to 0.82) | 30.6 (24.1 to 37.1) | 43.0 (36.0 to 50.0) |
Gene count score | 1.7 (0.9 to 2.5) | 0.54 (0.50 to 0.58) | 6.5 (3.5 to 10.8) | 9.9 (6.2 to 14.9) |
Genetic risk function score | 2.3 (1.5 to 3.8) | 0.55 (0.51 to 0.59) | 6.4 (3.5 to 10.8) | 11.4 (7.4 to 16.6) |
Cambridge risk score and gene count score | 9.7 (5.4 to 17.4) | 0.73 (0.69 to 0.76) | 20.3 (15.0 to 26.5) | 33.7 (27.2 to 40.6) |
Cambridge risk score and genetic risk function score | 7.9 (4.5 to 13.7) | 0.73 (0.69 to 0.76) | 21.8 (16.3 to 28.1) | 32.2 (25.8 to 39.1) |
Framingham offspring risk score and gene count score | 11.2 (6.1 to 20.5) | 0.78 (0.75 to 0.81) | 29.7 (23.5 to 36.5) | 42.6 (35.7 to 49.7) |
Framingham offspring risk score and genetic risk function score | 11.0 (6.0 to 20.1) | 0.78 (0.74 to 0.81) | 31.2 (24.9 to 38.1) | 40.1 (33.3 to 47.2) |
*Odds ratio for top versus bottom fifth.