Table 3.
Detail | Formula recommended | Breast feed to 3 months | Breast feed to 6 months | Formula supplied | ACTG076 | PETRA | CDC | CDC + formula recommended | CDC + formula supplied |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Antenatal HIV seroprevalence (%): | |||||||||
0.1 | 34 319 | 35 175 | 161 533 | 24 183 | 4462 | 6983 | 5393 | 4608 | 4393 |
1 | 3 580 | 3 624 | 16 351 | 2 726 | 583 | 712 | 548 | 478 | 511 |
2 | 1 860 | 1 865 | 8 273 | 1 523 | 365 | 360 | 276 | 244 | 291 |
5 | 794 | 793 | 3 394 | 771 | 225 | 141 | 104 | 92 | 146 |
10 | 383 | 409 | 1 715 | 471 | 165 | 54 | 33 | 21 | 77 |
15 | 200 | 258 | 1 111 | 331 | 134 | 14 | CS | CS | 37 |
20 | 74 | 166 | 775 | 230 | 109 | CS | CS | CS | 4 |
30 | CS | 41 | 374 | 67 | 68 | CS | CS | CS | CS |
40 | CS | CS | 107 | CS | 30 | CS | CS | CS | CS |
Infant mortality (change relative to base rate): | |||||||||
0.25 | 129 | 146 | 380 | 92 | 132 | 14 | CS | CS | 25 |
0.5 | 147 | 168 | 469 | 121 | 133 | 14 | CS | CS | 28 |
1 | 200 | 258 | 1 111 | 331 | 134 | 14 | CS | CS | 37 |
2 | 701 | DC | DC | DC | 135 | 14 | CS | CS | 109 |
4 | DC | DC | DC | DC | 139 | 14 | CS | DC | DC |
Relative risk of death in non-breastfed, HIV negative children (change relative to base rate): | |||||||||
0.5 | 121 | 151 | 482 | 113 | 135 | 14 | CS | CS | 27 |
1 | 200 | 258 | 1 111 | 331 | 134 | 14 | CS | CS | 37 |
2 | DC | DC | DC | DC | 131 | 13 | CS | CS | 142 |
4 | DC | DC | DC | DC | 125 | 13 | CS | DC | DC |
Cost of antiretroviral drugs (change relative to base rate): | |||||||||
1 | 200 | 258 | 1 111 | 331 | 134 | 14 | CS | CS | 37 |
0.5 | 200 | 258 | 1 111 | 331 | 51 | CS | CS | CS | CS |
0.25 | 200 | 258 | 1 111 | 331 | 9 | CS | CS | CS | CS |
Expenditure on health services for HIV negative and positive children (change relative to base rate): | |||||||||
0.25 | 151 | 256 | 1 361 | 287 | 206 | 86 | 71 | 35 | 86 |
0.5 | 167 | 257 | 1 277 | 301 | 182 | 62 | 46 | 17 | 69 |
1 | 200 | 258 | 1 111 | 331 | 134 | 14 | CS | CS | 37 |
2 | 266 | 261 | 777 | 389 | 37 | CS | CS | CS | CS |
4 | 397 | 266 | 110 | 506 | CS | CS | CS | CS | CS |
Uptake of screening (proportion of women accepting): | |||||||||
0.25 | DC | 3 610 | DC | 6 935 | 182 | 92 | 59 | 35 | 129 |
0.5 | 518 | 506 | DC | 583 | 148 | 38 | 16 | CS | 62 |
0.75 | 253 | 308 | 1 877 | 379 | 137 | 20 | 3 | CS | 43 |
0.9 | 200 | 258 | 1 111 | 331 | 134 | 14 | CS | CS | 37 |
1 | 177 | 236 | 893 | 309 | 132 | 11 | CS | CS | 34 |
CS=cost saving. DC=net increase in deaths (death causing).