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. 1999 Jul 17;319(7203):155–158. doi: 10.1136/bmj.319.7203.155

Table 2.

Factors varied in experiments using model of randomly fluctuating demand for patient admission and available inpatient bed capacity

Experiment No Factor varied Range
1 Initial emergency admissions rate as a proportion of total bed capacity  5-15%
2 Long term growth rate of emergency admissions 0-6%
3 Proportion of emergency patients with zero length of stay  0-20%
4 Notional stay ascribed to emergency patients classified as zero length of stay 0-0.8 days
5 Daily discharge rate for emergency patients 10-20%
(Equivalent length of stay) (5-10 days)
6 Initial bed occupancy  60-100%
7 Seasonal variation in emergency admissions as a proportion of mean admission rate  0-20%
8 Standard deviation of the random variation in emergency admissions 10-50%
9 Magnitude of day of week variations in emergency admission rates (multiple of baseline values) 0.0-2.0
10 Number of beds temporarily unavailable (proportion of bed pool)  0-20%
11 Size of bed pool (with admissions scaled pro rata to bed numbers) 50-300