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. 2010 Feb 1;33(2):197–204. doi: 10.1093/sleep/33.2.197

Table 2.

Individual predictability of the decaying power law function model for all subjects applied to individuals.

Probability Level
50%
95%
Ss EO No EC No EO No EC No Individual
1 0.84 129 0.96 189 0.93 56 0.99 140 1156
2 0.84 116 0.90 67 0.96 48 1.00 29 1012
3 0.93 177 0.93 134 0.99 67 1.00 70 1290
4 0.97 68 - 1 0.95 43 - 1 1610
5 0.84 97 0.75 16 0.98 57 1.00 4 932
6 0.99 222 0.29 65 1.00 118 0.43 21 5458
7 0.96 28 - 1 0.95 20 - 1 910
8 0.48 23 - 2 0.38 8 - 0 923
9 0.98 126 - 3 1.00 79 - 0 1478
10 0.97 62 0.69 13 1.00 34 - 1 1392
11 0.64 45 0.94 34 0.88 16 1.00 11 940
12 0.87 106 0.75 8 0.95 57 - 1 943
13 0.50 102 - 0 0.50 78 - 0 907
14 0.79 34 - 0 1.00 12 - 0 867
15 0.63 63 0.95 56 0.85 27 0.96 28 960
16 1.00 22 0.57 7 1.00 11 - 28 1469
17 0.77 43 0.96 52 0.95 20 0.93 1 898
18 1.0 55 - 1 1.00 44 - 28 1100
19 0.95 153 0.85 13 1.00 102 - 0 883
20 0.75 183 0.91 58 0.95 95 0.90 0 839
21 0.96 52 - 3 1.00 40 - 10 984
22 0.81 70 0.85 13 1.00 34 - 2 1612
23 0.96 54 - 0 1.00 41 - 0 -
24 0.83 18 - 0 1.00 13 - 0 629

Average 0.85 0.81 0.93 0.91 1078.82
SD 0.15 0.19 0.16 0.19 238.97

The probability of a lapse being EO when under 1217 ms (50%) is shown for each individual with an average accuracy of 85%. The 95% confidence limits were highly predictive of EC and EO lapses in that lapses occurring above the 95 percentile (2669 ms) were likely to be EC with an average accuracy of 97%. The final column shows the midpoint in milliseconds where the probability of an EC lapse exceeds that of EO for each subject.

*

Subject six is removed from the average of the individual midpoints due to being an outlier.