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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2010 Feb 10.
Published in final edited form as: Psychol Methods. 2002 Mar;7(1):83. doi: 10.1037/1082-989x.7.1.83

Table 6.

Type I Error Rates and Statistical Power for Product of Coefficients Methods

Sample size
Effect size 50 100 200 500 1,000
First-order test (Sobel, 1982)
Zero 0 0 .0020 0 0
Small .0060 .0100 .1220 .5620 .9760
Medium .3600 .8620 1.000 1.000 1.000
Large .9020 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000

Second-order test (Aroian, 1944)
Zero 0 0 0 0 0
Small .0060 .0060 .0920 .5260 .9740
Medium .3320 .8540 1.000 1.000 1.000
Large .8920 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000

Unbiased test (Goodman, 1960)
Zero .0160 .0040 .0140 .0020 .0100
Small .0080 .0200 .1420 .6200 .9820
Medium .3900 .8700 1.000 1.000 1.000
Large .9120 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000

Distribution of products test P = zαzβ (MacKinnon et al., 1998)
Zero .0620 .0760 .0420 .0660 .0400
Small .2220 .3960 .7180 .9740 1.000
Medium .9180 .9960 1.000 1.000 1.000
Large 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000

Distribution of αβ/σαβ (MacKinnon et al., 1998)
Zero .0560 .0680 .0400 .0600 .0420
Small .2060 .3600 .6920 .9580 .9960
Medium .9040 .9960 1.000 1.000 1.000
Large .9980 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000

Asymmetric distribution of products test (MacKinnon & Lockwood, 2001)
Zero .0040 .0040 .0020 0 0
Small .0300 .0620 .2740 .7600 .9880
Medium .5540 .9200 1.000 1.000 1.000
Large .9400 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000

Product of coefficients for standardized variables (Bobko & Rieck, 1980)
Zero .0020 0 .0020 0 0
Small .0080 .0160 .1300 .5700 .9780
Medium .4200 .8760 1.000 1.000 1.000
Large .9200 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000

Note. For all analyses, α = β and τ′ = 0. Small effect size = .14, medium effect size = .36, and large effect size = .51. Tests are two-tailed, p = .05. For each method, values in the first row for each test are estimates of the empirical Type I error rate. Values in rows 2–4 represent empirical estimates of statistical power.