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. 1999 Sep 18;319(7212):736–737. doi: 10.1136/bmj.319.7212.736

Table.

Factors predicting prolonged course of sore throat (over five days after seeing doctor)

Clinical/demographic features No (%) with prolonged course No (%) with short course Crude odds ratio (95% CI) Adjusted odds ratio* (95% CI) Likelihood ratio test (P value)*
Sociodemographic
Age >12 177/211 (84) 251/366 (69) 2.39 (1.55 to 3.66) 2.09 (1.33 to 3.28)  10.9 (0.001)
Sex (female) 143/211 (68) 222/368 (60) 1.38 (0.97 to 1.98) 1.35 (0.93 to 1.97) 2.48 (0.12)
Further education  82/210 (39) 138/356 (39) 1.01 (0.71 to 1.44) 0.77 (0.52 to 1.13) 1.79 (0.18)
Clinical
Initial antibiotics (group 1 v others)  70/211 (33) 144/368 (39) 0.77 (0.54 to 1.10) 0.85 (0.58 to 1.25) 0.69 (0.40)
Ill for >3 days before consultation  98/209 (47) 119/363 (33) 1.81 (1.28 to 2.57) 1.51 (1.04 to 2.18) 4.75 (0.03)
Pharyngitis 135/211 (64) 239/368 (65) 0.96 (0.67 to 1.37) 0.89 (0.61 to 1.29) 0.38 (0.54)
Purulent tonsils  32/211 (15)  62/368 (17) 0.88 (0.55 to 1.40) 0.96 (0.59 to 1.57) 0.03 (0.87)
Cervical glands 101/211 (48) 208/368 (57) 0.71 (0.50 to 0.99) 0.86 (0.60 to 1.25) 0.60 (0.44)
Temperature >37.5°C  22/149 (15)  76/280 (27) 0.46 (0.28 to 0.78) 0.58 (0.33 to 1.03) 3.57 (0.06)
Cough 153/211 (73) 226/368 (61) 1.66 (1.15 to 2.39) 1.61 (1.10 to 2.37) 5.99 (0.01)
Dysphagia 152/201 (76) 243/355 (68) 1.43 (0.97 to 2.11) 1.41 (0.93 to 2.13) 2.71 (0.10)
Breese scorecard score >25 3 118/171 (69) 167/260 (64) 1.24 (0.82 to 1.87) 1.07 (0.69 to 1.67) 0.09 (0.76)
3/5 of symptom complex  25/143 (17)  69/269 (26) 0.61 (0.37 to 1.02) 0.90 (0.49 to 1.66) 0.12 (0.73)
Psychosocial
Satisfaction with consultation:
 Very satisfied 131/206 (64) 269/363 (74) 1.00 1.00  7.05 (0.008)
 Moderately  56/206 (27)  78/363 (21) 1.47 (0.98 to 2.20) 1.39 (0.92 to 2.1)
 Slightly  12/206 (6)  12/363 (3) 2.05 (0.89 to 4.68) 2.10 (0.90 to 4.90)
 Not at all satisfied   7/206 (3)   5/363 (1) 2.87 (0.89 to 9.20) 2.86 (0.87 to 9.41)
Legitimation for work or school very or moderately important 3 123/205 (60) 218/361 (60) 1.01 (0.71 to 1.44) 1.03 (0.72 to 1.49) 0.03 (0.87)
*

Adjusted for age, duration before consultation, cough, and satisfaction. 

Presence of 3/5 of following symptoms: temperature >37.5°C, dysphagia, tender cervical glands, no cough, purulent exudate.3 z for trend 2.9, P=0.004. 

z for trend 2.65, P=0.008. 

Other variables not significant in univariate analysis and not presented in the table are: inflamed tonsils, tender cervical glands, faucial or palatal inflammation, and fetor.