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Probability densities of the last 1,000 iterations of the WinBUGS estimation for the estimated demographic parameters. (see Fig. 3 and Equation 2): j1 (A), j2 (B), p1 (C), s (D), p2 (E), a (F) and f (G). The medians, 2.5 and 97.5 percentiles are: j1: 0.45, 0.29, 0.61; j2: 0.20, 0.02, 0.44; p1: 0.60, 0.27, 0.89; s: 0.42, 0.17, 0.69; p2: 0.42, 0.14, 0.69; a: 0.72, 0.57, 0.90; f: 0.82, 0.68, 0.98, and pobs: 0.40, 0.29, 0.55. The priors are indicated by dotted lines.
