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. 2010 Mar 1;5(3):e9450. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0009450

Table 3. Summary of model performances and the estimated coefficients for Maricopa County influenza.

Model Fit Pred. AR MA Enviromental vars
RMSE AIC RMSE Est. Pr >|t| Est. Pr >|t| Vars Est. Pr >|t|
SARIMA(0,1,0)(1,0,0) 0.5862 280.582 0.5123 0.34964 <.0001
SARIMA(1,1,0)(1,0,0) 0.5859 282.454 0.5107 0.02694 0.7228
0.34854 <.0001
SARIMAX(1,0,1)(0,1,0) with LST 0.6087 196.920 0.6063 0.86496 <.0001 −0.20367 0.062 LST (Lag 3) −0.0418 0.004
SARIMAX(2,0,0)(0,1,0) with Tmean 0.5493 170.958 0.6058 1.2497 <.0001 Tmean (Lag 1) 0.0188 0.012
−0.37896 0.0001 Tmean (Lag 7) 0.015 0.044
SARIMAX(1,0,0)(0,1,0) with RHMax 0.6238 207.660 0.6142 0.9321 <.0001 RhMax (Lag 3) 0.0101 0.022
RhMax (Lag 6) 0.0071 0.093
SARIMAX(1,0,0)(0,1,0) with RHMin 0.6382 210.540 0.5867 0.8979 <.0001 RHMin (Lag 6) 0.0173 0.047
SARIMAX(0,1,0)(1,0,0) with Pmax 0.5370 247.390 0.5101 0.41313 <.0001 Pmax (Lag 0) −0.016 0.043
Pmax (Lag 6) −0.0126 0.106
ARIMAX(1,0,0) with LST and RHMax 0.5753 277.840 0.5522 0.90303 <.0001 LST (Lag 3) −0.073 <.0001
RHMax (Lag 3) −0.013 0.004
SARIMAX(1,0,0)(0,1,0) with LST and RHMin 0.6048 195.727 0.6137 0.91289 <.0001 LST (Lag 3) −0.0413 0.004
RHMin (Lag 6) 0.0197 0.023

Abbreviations: Tmean  =  mean air temperature; RHMax  =  Maximum Relative Humidity; RHMin  =  Minimum Relative Humidity. See Table 1 for other abbreviations.