Table 3.

Logistic Regression Analyses of Life History Predictors of 10-Year and 20-Year High-Risk Alcohol Consumption and Drinking Problems

	10-Year Criteria		20-Year Criteria

Predictors	3+Drks/Day 14+ Drks/Wk (N = 708)	Drinking Problems (N = 708)	3+Drks/Day 14+ Drks/Wk (N = 716)	Drinking Problems (N = 716)
History of Drinking
Moderate to Heavy Drinking by Age 50	1.09	.85	1.22^†	1.03
Drinking Problems by age 50	1.56^**	2.04^**	1.35^*	1.37^*
History of Help-Seeking
Advised to Cut Down	1.76^*	4.98^**	1.82^*	1.97^*
Tried to Cut Down	.64^†	.60^†	.57^*	.88
Help from Family and Friends	.98	.92^†	.94	.93
Professional Help	1.09	1.09	1.10	1.02
Help from AA	.47^**	.52^**	.50^*	.56^†
Model Chi Square	94.26^**	100.41^**	74.64^**	37.30^**
Degrees of freedom	10	10	10	10
Nagelkerke R²	.17	.21	.15	.09

Note. Entries are odds ratios that control for age, gender, and marital status.

^†

p < .10;

p < .05;

^**

p < .01