Table 4.
10-Year Criteria | 20-Year Criteria | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Predictors | 3+Drks/Day 14+ Drks/Wk (N = 707) | Drinking Problems (N = 707) | 3+Drks/Day 14+ Drks/Wk (N = 715) | Drinking Problems (N = 715) |
Step 1. Demographics | ||||
Block Chi Square | 54.15** | 19.16** | 43.73** | 17.56** |
Nagelkerke R2 | .10 | .04 | .09 | .04 |
Step 2. History of Drinking and Help Seeking | ||||
Drinking Problems by age 50 | 1.63** | 1.92** | 1.47** | 1.39* |
Advised to Cut Down | 1.85** | 4.78** | 1.85* | 1.88* |
Tried to Cut Down | .65* | .51* | .55* | .78 |
Help from AA | .50** | .53** | .51** | .52** |
Block Chi Square | 39.32** | 77.41** | 25.79** | 17.52** |
Increment in Nagelkerke R2 | .07 | .17 | .05 | .05 |
Step 3. Late-Life Predictors | ||||
Alcohol Consumption | 1.82** | 1.35** | 1.97** | 1.24** |
Friends’ Approval | 1.15** | 1.17** | 1.16** | 1.17** |
Substances for Tension Reduction | 1.80** | 2.54** | 1.53† | 1.30 |
Financial Resources | 1.08** | 1.03 | 1.06** | 1.05* |
Block Chi Square | 118.98** | 61.85** | 116.69** | 31.20** |
Increment in Nagelkerke R2 | .19 | .12 | .21 | .07 |
Note. Entries are odds ratios.
p < .10;
p < .05;
p < .01.