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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2011 Apr 1.

Published in final edited form as: Drug Alcohol Depend. 2009 Dec 6;108(1-2):13–20. doi: 10.1016/j.drugalcdep.2009.11.005

Table 4.

Logistic Regression Analyses of Late-Life and Life History Predictors of 10-Year and 20-Year Alcohol Consumption and Drinking Problems

	10-Year Criteria		20-Year Criteria

Predictors	3+Drks/Day 14+ Drks/Wk (N = 707)	Drinking Problems (N = 707)	3+Drks/Day 14+ Drks/Wk (N = 715)	Drinking Problems (N = 715)
Step 1. Demographics
Block Chi Square	54.15^**	19.16^**	43.73^**	17.56^**
Nagelkerke R²	.10	.04	.09	.04
Step 2. History of Drinking and Help Seeking
Drinking Problems by age 50	1.63^**	1.92^**	1.47^**	1.39^*
Advised to Cut Down	1.85^**	4.78^**	1.85^*	1.88^*
Tried to Cut Down	.65^*	.51^*	.55^*	.78
Help from AA	.50^**	.53^**	.51^**	.52^**
Block Chi Square	39.32^**	77.41^**	25.79^**	17.52^**
Increment in Nagelkerke R²	.07	.17	.05	.05
Step 3. Late-Life Predictors
Alcohol Consumption	1.82^**	1.35^**	1.97^**	1.24^**
Friends’ Approval	1.15^**	1.17^**	1.16^**	1.17^**
Substances for Tension Reduction	1.80^**	2.54^**	1.53^†	1.30
Financial Resources	1.08^**	1.03	1.06^**	1.05^*
Block Chi Square	118.98^**	61.85^**	116.69^**	31.20^**
Increment in Nagelkerke R²	.19	.12	.21	.07

Note. Entries are odds ratios.

^†

p < .10;

^*

p < .05;

^**

p < .01.