Table 3.
Measures of model fit, discrimination and calibration for various cardiovascular event models with and without carotid-femoral (aortic) pulse wave velocity.
| Model Fit |
Discrimination |
Calibration |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model |
−2 Log Likelihood |
Akaike Information Criterion |
Schwartz’s Bayesian Information Criterion |
C Statistic (95% CI) |
χ2 |
P |
| Age, sex | 2155 | 2159 | 2165 | 0.762 (0.723, 0.801) | 8.7 | 0.46 |
| Add pulse wave velocity | 2136 | 2142 | 2151 | 0.782 (0.746, 0.818)* | 2.9 | 0.97 |
| Age, sex, total cholesterol, HDL cholesterol, systolic pressure, smoking, diabetes and hypertension treatment | 2126 | 2142 | 2166 | 0.796 (0.764, 0.828) | 4.3 | 0.89 |
| Add pulse wave velocity | 2116 | 2134 | 2162 | 0.800 (0.768, 0.832)** | 2.6 | 0.98 |
For a description of the tests displayed in the table, please see statistical methods section.
Comparison of c statistics in rows 1 and 2, P=0.006.
Comparison of c statistics in rows 3 and 4, P=0.3.