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. 2010 Jan 27;9:3. doi: 10.1186/1476-072X-9-3

Table 1.

Number of cases selected as emergent, as a function of radius distance (V) and elapsed past time without cases (T).

T V

10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 150 200 300 400 500
7 687 389 256 185 142 115 87 75 61 55 35 28 18 13 11
14 555 318 195 133 102 78 62 54 48 41 27 21 12 8 5
21 489 291 176 118 89 72 54 46 40 34 22 16 15 7 4
28 446 262 152 100 77 60 48 39 36 32 22 16 11 5 4
60 525 237 131 86 67 52 42 36 31 27 16 15 8 7 4
90 504 236 129 84 68 52 42 33 31 27 16 14 8 7 4

Parameters values are expressed as: T = time by days and V = distance in kilometers.