Table 4.

Average fraction of epidemics with seropositive animals and average number of seropositive animals per epidemic with seropositive animals before and after end screening (the two-sided 90% interval is given in parentheses).

		no. of seropositive animals
		before end screening	after end screening
control strategy	fraction epidemics		ESmin	ESvac	ESmax
minimal	0.29	7.6 (1–22)	5.6 (1–16)	5.6 (1–16)	1.5 (1–4)
1 km culling	0.15	5.4 (1–11)	3.9 (1–8)	3.9 (1–8)	1.0 (1–2)
1 km vaccination	0.70	40.7 (1–129)	20.6 (1–64)	3.3 (0–11)	2.6 (0–9)
2 km vaccination	0.78	43.9 (8–125)	22.1 (6–61)	3.0 (0–10)	2.7 (0–8)
5 km vaccination	0.85	43.2 (3–112)	21.7 (3–55)	2.7 (0–8)	2.6 (0–7)