Table 3.
Variable | Model I | Model II | Model III | Model IV | Model V |
Constant | 10.9366 | 9.0257 | 10.6103 | 12.0071 | 4.8590 |
3.8798*** | 1.7499* | 2.1774** | 2.3904** | 0.8796 | |
Local flow | 2.7701 | 6.1156 | 5.4198 | 5.1555 | 7.5519 |
2.6865** | 2.9652** | 2.7513** | 2.5582** | 3.4410*** | |
Highway flow | 0.0008 | −0.0220 | −0.0318 | −0.0387 | −0.0554 |
0.2277 | −2.7695** | −3.3002*** | −3.2499*** | −3.7125*** | |
Road-network densitya | −0.2176 | −1.6134 | −2.5161 | −0.9075 | |
−0.1142 | −0.8213 | −1.1688 | −0.3877 | ||
Road-Network Density × Local Flow | −0.8813 | −0.4691 | −0.2182 | −0.4693 | |
−1.2506 | −0.6544 | −0.2727 | −0.5632 | ||
Road-Network Density × Highway Flow | 0.0207 | 0.0171 | 0.0174 | 0.0019 | |
2.9758** | 2.5766** | 2.5732** | 0.2285 | ||
On-premise outlet density | 26.1311 | 33.6790 | 35.4976 | ||
2.0039* | 1.4231 | 1.1493 | |||
On-Premise Outlet Density × Local Flow | −8.2619 | −11.1505 | −13.3290 | ||
−2.2941* | −1.5502 | −1.3256 | |||
On-Premise Outlet Density × Highway Flow | 0.1241 | 0.1829 | 0.2134 | ||
1.7869* | 1.9942* | 1.9911* | |||
Drinking-Driver Density × On-Premise Outlet Density | 0.0323 | 0.4440 | |||
0.0777 | 0.8691 | ||||
Drinking-Driver Density × On-Premise Outlet Density × Local Flow | −0.0021 | −0.1194 | |||
−0.0186 | −0.8840 | ||||
Drinking-Driver Density × On-Premise Outlet Density × Highway Flow | −0.0010 | −0.0028 | |||
−0.5737 | −1.1275 | ||||
Lagged on-premise outlet density | 15.5132 | ||||
0.7617 | |||||
Lagged Drinking-Driver Density × On-Premise Outlet Density | −1.0669 | ||||
−1.2749 | |||||
Lagged On-Premise Outlet Density × Local Flow | −9.6066 | ||||
−1.3176 | |||||
Lagged On-Premise Outlet Density × Highway Flow | 0.2389 | ||||
2.7030** | |||||
Lagged Drinking Driver Density × On-Premise Outlet Density × Local Flow | 0.3580 | ||||
1.2224 | |||||
Lagged Drinking Driver Density × On-Premise Outlet Density × Highway Flow | 0.0042 | ||||
0.7040 | |||||
Spatial autocorrelation | |||||
ρs | .1223 | .0445 | .0359 | −.0071 | .0758 |
t | .9699 | .3377 | .2683 | −.0520 | .5556 |
Model test | |||||
ΔG2 | 17.6503 | 20.7591 | 3.0901 | 15.6540 | |
p | .0005*** | .0001*** | .3779 | .0157* |
All densities are for local geographic units unless specified otherwise.
p < .05, one tailed;
p < .01, one tailed;
p < .001, one tailed.