Table 2.
Simulated characteristics of baseline (no-intervention) epidemics for R0 values
| R0 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.6 | ||||
| Characteristics | Mean | S.D. | Mean | S.D. | Mean | S.D. |
| Final Infection Rate (%) | 36.3 | 1.32 | 43.9 | 1.09 | 50.4 | 1.02 |
| Final Attack Rate (%) | 26.9 | 0.95 | 32.5 | 0.77 | 37.2 | 0.74 |
| Peak Symptomatic Population (%) | 4.45 | 0.49 | 6.6 | 0.46 | 8.74 | 0.51 |
| Peak Daily incidence Rate (per 10000) | 82 | 8 | 121 | 9 | 159 | 10 |
| Peak Attack Day | 51 | 7.7 | 45 | 4.74 | 40 | 4.48 |
| Serial Interval | 2.49 | 0.01 | 2.47 | 0.01 | 2.45 | 0.01 |
Means and standard deviations (S.D.) are for 40 simulation runs, each with stochastic choices made with different random-number sequences.