Table 2.
Posterior estimates of regression coefficients and variances of random effects of different models for winter
| Model | Alpha | Beta[1] | Beta[2] | Variance U | Variance V | DIC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year 2001 | ||||||
| No covariates | 1.11 (0.79, 1.43) |
- | - | 0.0035 (2.1E-04, 1.37) |
0.19 (7.6E-04,0.699) |
106.9 |
| Temperature covariate | 3.53 (1.22,6.12) |
3.54 (0.27, 7.38) |
- | 0.0038 (2.14E-04, 1.4) |
0.191 (7.6E-04, 0.69) |
106.9 |
| Rainfall covariate | 3.8 (1.32, 6.27) |
- | 4.12 (0.32, 7.95) |
0.0034 (2.1E-04, 1.34) |
0.195 (8.7E-04, 0.71) |
106.9 |
| Both covariates | -1.46 (-6.95,1.73) |
-8.88 (-18.99,-3.33) |
2.25 (-2.58,17.7) |
0.0044 (2.1E- 04,1.51) |
0.183 (5.93E-04,0.69) |
106.9 |
| Year 2002 | ||||||
| No covariates | 1.33 (1.02, 1.61) |
- | - | 0.0089 (2.3E-04,1.72) |
0.18 (4.2E-04,0.72) |
106.8 |
| Temperature covariate | 2.22 (-1.75,5.67) |
-2.42 (-16.3, 11.7) |
- | 0.009 (2.2E-04, 1.75) |
0.185 (4.0E-04, 0.77) |
106.9 |
| Rainfall Covariate | 3.32 (-0.79, 7.11) |
- | 4.11 (-4.27,11.6) |
0.078 (2.5E-04, 2.1) |
0.133 (3.0E-04, 0.78) |
106.9 |
| Both covariates | -0.719 (-2.51, 1.11) |
5.498 (0.696,12.2) | -0.223 (-6.26,4.06) |
0.282 (2.7E-04, 2.04) |
0.089 (2.9E-04,0.638) |
106.8 |