Table 3.
Posterior estimates of regression coefficients and variances of random effects of different models for summer
| Model | Alpha | Beta[1] | Beta[2] | Variance U | Variance V | DIC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year 2001 | ||||||
| No covariates | 1.12 (0.82, 1.47) |
- | - | 0.0042 (2.2E-04, 1.62) |
0.18 (5.4E-04,0.67) |
112.5 |
| Temperature covariate | 1.12 (-2.16, 3.81) |
0.014 (-3.94,4.69) |
- | 0.0042 (2.1E-04, 1.48) |
0.182 (6.1E-04, 0.67) |
112.3 |
| Rainfall covariate | 1.62 (-1.15, 5.36) |
- | -0.851 (-6.54,3.28) |
0.0048 (2.2E-04, 1.54) |
0.18 (5.57E-04,0.67) |
112.5 |
| Both covariates | -1.89 (-4.7, -0.36) |
1.99 (0.56,4.13) |
2.83 (0.39, 5.04) |
0.0036 (2.1E-04, 1.35) |
0.192 (8.83E-04,0.69) |
112.4 |
| Year 2002 | ||||||
| No covariates | 1.34 (1.11, 1.65) |
- | - | 0.0052 (2.2E-04, 1.49) |
0.196 (5.6E-04,0.72) |
112.3 |
| Temperature covariate | -2.23 (-5.22,0.99) |
1.62 (0.18, 2.97) |
- | 0.027 (2.48E-04,1.78) |
0.16 (3.58E-04,0.68) |
112.4 |
| Rainfall Covariate | 1.73 (-1.27, 4.58) |
- | -0.999 (-10.6, 8.8) |
0.0072 (2.3E-04,1.73) |
0.184 (3.71E-04,0.71) |
112.4 |
| Both covariates | -4.25 (-7.29,-2.04) |
2.23 (1.46, 2.85) |
4.71 (-3.54,11.3) |
0.034 (2.4E-04,1.93) |
0.143 (3.4E-04,0.679) |
112.4 |