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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2010 Apr 19.
Published in final edited form as: Dev Psychol. 2010 Jan;46(1):230–244. doi: 10.1037/a0017100

Figure 2.

Figure 2

Multinomial model of event-based prospective memory. PM = prospective memory; P = probability of engaging in preparatory attentional processes; M = probability of discriminating between targets and distractors (retrospective component); C1 = probability of detecting a color match; C2 = probability of detecting that a color does not match; g = probability of guessing that a word is a target; c = probability of guessing that a color matches. Adapted from “A multinomial model of event-based prospective memory” by R. E. Smith and U. J. Bayen, 2004, Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 30, p. 758.