Official websites use .gov
A
.gov website belongs to an official
government organization in the United States.
Secure .gov websites use HTTPS
A lock (
) or https:// means you've safely
connected to the .gov website. Share sensitive
information only on official, secure websites.
Discrimination is the same in each case despite very different risk predictions. Only model 1 is well calibrated.
| Observed outcome | Predicted risk of cancer from the model | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cancer | No cancer | Model 1 | Model 2 | Model 3 | ||
| Risk group from model | High risk | 15 (60%) | 10 (40%) | 60% | 99% | 0.1% |
| Low risk | 5 (14%) | 30 (86%) | 14% | 98% | 0.09% | |
