TABLE 6.
Multinomial logistic regression predicting achievement, underachievement, and overachievement of fertility intentions for women
| Model 1: Age 24 |
Model 2: Childless and married |
Model 3: Marital transitions |
Model 4: Unplanned pregnancy |
|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under | Over | Under | Over | Under | Over | Under | Over | |
| Race | ||||||||
| Black | 1.08 | 1.58*** | 1.43*** | 1.42** | 1.08 | 1.53*** | 1.13 | 1.14 |
| (0.10) | (0.15) | (0.15) | (0.15) | (0.13) | (0.17) | (0.13) | (0.14) | |
| Other | 1.08 | 1.21 | 1.09 | 1.16 | 1.01 | 1.20 | 0.97 | 1.29 |
| (0.25) | (0.27) | (0.26) | (0.26) | (0.25) | (0.27) | (0.23) | (0.31) | |
| Age | 0.85 | 0.91 | 0.95 | 0.90 | 0.95 | 0.91 | 0.93 | 0.99 |
| (0.07) | (0.09) | (0.09) | (0.09) | (0.09) | (0.09) | (0.08) | (0.11) | |
| Education at 24 | ||||||||
| High school | 2.34*** | 1.10 | 1.69** | 1.16 | 1.85*** | 1.13 | 1.92*** | 1.07 |
| (0.38) | (0.15) | (0.28) | (0.16) | (0.32) | (0.16) | (0.34) | (0.16) | |
| Some college | 3.24*** | 0.99 | 1.47* | 1.11 | 1.63* | 1.09 | 1.65* | 1.02 |
| (0.58) | (0.16) | (0.28) | (0.19) | (0.32) | (0.19) | (0.34) | (0.19) | |
| College and above | 3.29*** | 0.86 | 0.92 | 1.06 | 1.07 | 1.01 | 1.05 | 1.08 |
| (0.60) | (0.16) | (0.19) | (0.22) | (0.23) | (0.21) | (0.23) | (0.24) | |
| Enrolled at 24 | 1.68*** | 1.25 | 1.38 | 1.24 | 1.39* | 1.23 | 1.40* | 1.23 |
| (0.25) | (0.24) | (0.23) | (0.24) | (0.23) | (0.24) | (0.23) | (0.25) | |
| Children intended | ||||||||
| Less than 2 | 0.41*** | 2.03*** | 0.28*** | 2.11*** | 0.22*** | 2.19*** | 0.20*** | 2.96*** |
| (0.06) | (0.25) | (0.05) | (0.27) | (0.04) | (0.28) | (0.04) | (0.40) | |
| More than 2 | 2.41*** | 0.99 | 4.15*** | 0.94 | 4.38*** | 0.92 | 4.66*** | 0.63** |
| (0.24) | (0.12) | (0.49) | (0.12) | (0.52) | (0.12) | (0.56) | (0.09) | |
| Childless at 24 | 7.49*** | 0.70** | 8.12*** | 0.68** | 8.40*** | 0.66** | ||
| (0.98) | (0.09) | (1.10) | (0.09) | (1.16) | (0.09) | |||
| Married at 24 | 0.64*** | 0.84 | 0.79* | 0.80 | 0.80 | 0.84 | ||
| (0.07) | (0.10) | (0.09) | (0.09) | (0.09) | (0.11) | |||
| Marital transitions | ||||||||
| Never married | 3.90*** | 0.66* | 3.94*** | 0.47*** | ||||
| (0.63) | (0.12) | (0.63) | (0.09) | |||||
| Divorced | 2.09*** | 0.70* | 2.12*** | 0.63** | ||||
| (0.32) | (0.11) | (0.33) | (0.11) | |||||
| Remarried | 1.25 | 0.86 | 1.28 | 0.78 | ||||
| (0.19) | (0.12) | (0.19) | (0.12) | |||||
| 3 or more transitions | 1.19 | 0.94 | 1.28 | 0.78 | ||||
| (0.22) | (0.16) | (0.24) | (0.15) | |||||
| Unwanted birth | 0.63 | 10.19*** | ||||||
| (0.20) | (1.88) | |||||||
| Mistimed birth | 0.46*** | 5.45*** | ||||||
| (0.08) | (0.71) | |||||||
| Constant | 0.25*** | 0.38*** | 0.14*** | 0.45*** | 0.08*** | 0.53*** | 0.08*** | 0.31*** |
| (0.04) | (0.05) | (0.02) | (0.07) | (0.02) | (0.09) | (0.02) | (0.06) | |
| Adjusted Wald tests | F(18,7642)=18.21 | F(22,7642)=27.24 | F(30,7642)=22.93 | F(34,7642)=26.05 | ||||
| Childless and married at 24 |
F(4,7639)=83.44 | F(4,7639)=77.99 | F(4,7639)=72.40 | |||||
| Marital transitions | F(8,7635)=16.08 | F(8,7635)=17.10 | ||||||
| Unplanned pregnancy | F(4,7639)=91.00 | |||||||
| Observations | 3,783 | 3,783 | 3,783 | 3,783 | ||||
NOTE: All analyses weighted with 2006 sampling weights. Coefficients reported as odds ratios. “Achieving intentions” is the omitted outcome category; “white” is the omitted category for race; “want 2 children” is the omitted category for children wanted; “unmarried at age 24” is the omitted category for married at 24; “less than high school” is the omitted category for education at 24; “not enrolled” is the omitted category for enrolled at 24; “stably married” is the omitted category for marital transitions. Standard errors shown in parentheses.
*
p<.05,
**
p<.01,
***
p<.001 (two-tailed tests).