Table 3.
Ten year predicted versus observed rates of coronary heart disease mortality and all coronary events by region
Coronary heart disease deaths |
Coronary heart disease events |
|||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Region | Predicted rate (%) | Observed rate (%) (95% CI) | Predicated over observed | Predicted rate (%) | Observed rate (%) (95% CI) | Predicted over observed |
South of England (n=2086) |
3.8 |
2.3 (1.7 to 3.1) |
1.65 |
15.4 |
9.0 (7.8 to 10.3) |
1.71 |
Midlands and Wales (n=942) |
3.8 |
1.9 (1.2 to 3.1) |
2.01 |
15.6 |
9.1 (7.4 to 11.2) |
1.71 |
North of England (n=2783) |
4.2 |
3.3 (2.7 to 4.1) |
1.27 |
16.3 |
10.6 (9.5 to 11.8) |
1.54 |
Scotland (n=832) |
4.5 |
3.0 (2.0 to 4.5) |
1.50 |
16.8 |
13.1 (10.9 to 15.6) |
1.28 |
All (n=6643) | 4.1 | 2.8 (2.4 to 3.2) | 1.47 | 16.0 | 10.2 (9.5 to 10.9) | 1.57 |