Table 4.
Current programme | Extension to age 69 | Two year interval | |
---|---|---|---|
Effectiveness (no discounting) | |||
Reduction in mortality (%)* | 12.8 | 16.4 | 15.3 |
Deaths prevented/year* | 147 | 188 | 175 |
Total deaths prevented | 4 079 | 5 311 | 4 880 |
Life years gained | 66 187 | 78 221 | 81 322 |
Costs (£m) (6% discounted) | |||
Screening | 26.8 | 34.7 | 36.9 |
Diagnosis (screening) | 17.4 | 21.1 | 19.7 |
Diagnosis (outside screening) | −11.1 | −14.1 | −12.9 |
Primary treatment | 6.2 | 9.1 | 7.1 |
Adjuvant therapy | −1.5 | −2.1 | −1.8 |
Follow up | 2.9 | 4.0 | 3.5 |
Advanced disease | −9.8 | −13.1 | −11.8 |
Total | 30.9 | 39.6 | 40.6 |
Effectiveness (6% discounted) | |||
Deaths prevented | 1 229 | 1 636 | 1 457 |
Life years gained | 12 251 | 15 161 | 14 987 |
Cost effectiveness (6% discounted) | |||
Cost per death prevented (£) | 25 142 | 24 205 | 27 865 |
Cost per life year gained (£) | 2 522 | 2 611 | 2 709 |
Marginal cost effectiveness/life year gained (£) | 2 990 | 3 545 |
In a steady state.