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. 2010 May;21(5):852–858. doi: 10.1681/ASN.2009101043

Table 3.

Predicted risk for NSC and skin cancer over time after transplantation

Risk Stratum Group Characteristics No. (95% CI) with Cancers Predicted per 100 People Treated
5 years 10 years 20 years
NSC
    low <35 years old, never smoked 2.5 (0.9 to 4.1) 4.9 (2.1 to 7.7) 12.0 (5.8 to 18.0)
    high ≥55 years old, previous or current smoker 17.0 (9.8 to 24.0) 32.0 (20.0 to 41.0) 61.0 (43.0 to 74.0)
SCEM
    low Female, <35 years old, brown eyes, dark skin 1.9 (0.7 to 3.1) 4.2 (1.7 to 6.6) 9.3 (4.1 to 14.0)
    high Male, ≥55 years old, nonbrown eyes, fair skin 56.0 (29.0 to 73.0) 84.0 (55.0 to 95.0) 99.0 (82.0 to 100.0)