Skip to main content
Epidemiology and Infection logoLink to Epidemiology and Infection
. 2005 Dec;133(6):1023–1032. doi: 10.1017/S095026880500453X

Where diseases and networks collide: lessons to be learnt from a study of the 2001 foot-and-mouth disease epidemic.

M D F Shirley 1, S P Rushton 1
PMCID: PMC2870335  PMID: 16274498

Abstract

This paper uses a graph-theoretical approach to investigate the properties of the observed network of disease transmission in the 2001 foot-and-mouth epidemic in the United Kingdom. This analysis revealed both global and local heterogeneity in the contact pattern between the infected premises in the first 3 weeks of the disease. In particular, the global heterogeneity contributed to the failure of the culling strategy imposed by the UK government. However, a more effective strategy targeting selective deletion of key premises in the network was not available once the epidemic had begun. We recommend that post-hoc analyses of this sort should become part of preventative and proactive policy rather than part of a reaction to an ongoing crisis.


Articles from Epidemiology and Infection are provided here courtesy of Cambridge University Press

RESOURCES