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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2010 Jun 1.
Published in final edited form as: Cancer. 2009 Jun 1;115(11):2410–2419. doi: 10.1002/cncr.24256

Table 2.

MISCAN-Colon model parameters as adjusted specifically to the trials.

Parameter Minnesota Nottingham Funen
Period 1975-1981, 1987-1992 1981-1995* 1985-2000
Birth years population 1895-1925 1906-1936 1910-1940
RR for incidence compared to US population 1978 0.79 0.78 0.92
RR for incidence non-attenders versus attenders 1 1.3 1.4
Stage distribution clinically diagnosed CRC
Dukes A 25% 13% 12%
Dukes B 34% 35% 38%
Dukes C 23% 31% 24%
Dukes D 19% 21% 26%
10-years survival by stage
Dukes A 91% 87% 87%
Dukes B 75% 69% 69%
Dukes C 44% 43% 43%
Dukes D 1% 4% 4%
Screen interval 1 year or 2 years 2 years 2 years
Attendance to
first screen Age-dependent: 56-81% 63% 67%
repeat screen, if attended previously 90% 87% 93%
repeat screen, if not attended previously 42% 14% not re-invited: 0%
Specificity Unrehydrated: 98% 99% 99%
Rehydrated: 90%

RR: Relative risk

CRC: Colorectal Cancer

*

Results of first 5 rounds used

Results of first 8 rounds used