Table 1.
Parameter (reference number) | Base-case estimates |
---|---|
Relative risk of primary prevention | RR (95% CI) |
Major coronary events (14) | 0.82 (0.75–0.90) |
Overall stroke (14) | 0.95 (0.85–1.06) |
Hemorrhagic (14) | 1.32 (1.00–1.75) |
Ischemic (14) | 0.86 (0.74–1.00) |
Relative risk of secondary prevention | |
Major coronary events (14) | 0.80 (0.73–0.88) |
Annual risk for side effects | % (95% CI) |
Gastrointestinal bleeding (14) | 0.0003 (0.0002–0.0005) |
Death resulting from gastrointestinal bleeding (18) | 0.00001 (0.000001–0.0001) |
Annual cost* | 0.001 (0.001–0.01) |
Aspirin† | 24 |
MI (15) | |
Year 1 | 7,765 |
Ongoing annual cost after year 1 | 2,006 |
Stroke (15) | |
Year 1 | 67,347 |
Ongoing annual cost after year 1 | 26,553 |
Gastrointestinal bleeding (18) | |
Nonfatal | 7,842 |
Fatal | 7,842 |
Utility score (17) | |
Diabetes without complications | 0.689 |
MI | 0.637 |
Stroke | 0.617 |
Gastrointestinal bleeding | 0.970 |
Data are point estimate (95% CI) unless otherwise indicated.
*Per person with newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes.
†Averaging the price of Bayer low-dose aspirin (i.e., baby aspirin) at several large chain pharmacies in the U.S.