Table 4.
Predictors of 28-day mortality using Cox proportional hazards regression analysis
| Univariate | Multivariate | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variables | HR (95% CI) | P value | HR (95% CI) | P value |
| Age (per 10 years) | 0.97 (0.79-1.20) | 0.791 | ||
| Sex (female) | 0.76 (0.40-1.45) | 0.401 | ||
| SIRS† | 1.22 (0.48-3.16) | 0.675 | ||
| Sepsis† | 3.54 (1.42-8.82) | 0.007 | ||
| RIFLE category* | -- | 0.381 | ||
| ln SOFA - renal variable (per 1 SD ↑) | 1.05 (0.66-1.67) | 0.846 | ||
| LOS before start of RRT (per day) | 1.00 (0.96-1.04) | 0.889 | ||
| ln APACHE II score (per 1 SD ↑) | 1.72 (1.15-2.56) | 0.008 | ||
| ln total SOFA score (per 1 SD ↑) | 1.79 (1.28-2.50) | <0.001 | 1.62 (1.17-2.25) | 0.004 |
| ln CRP (per 1 SD ↑) | 1.71 (1.13-2.58) | 0.012 | ||
| ln cystatin C (per 1 SD ↑) | 1.07 (0.77-1.50) | 0.679 | ||
| ln NGAL (per 1 SD ↑) | 1.79 (1.28-2.51) | <0.001 | 1.60 (1.15-2.23) | 0.005 |
Estimated hazard ratios (HR), 95% confidence intervals (CI), and P values were calculated by Cox regression analyses (backward elimination). Variables found to be statistical significant at a P value of less than 0.1 in the univariate model were included into the multivariate model using stepwise backward elimination. A two-sided P value of less than 0.05 was considered statistically significant in the multivariate model. Variables that were not normally distributed were log transformed; hazard ratios refer to 1 standard deviation (SD) in the log scale in these variables. † For SIRS and sepsis, the non-SIRS/sepsis group was set as the reference group. *HR (95% CI) for categorical variables is only displayed in case of multivariate significance.
APACHE II score = Acute Physiology And Chronic Health Evaluation score; CRP = C reactive protein; LOS = length of stay in the intensive care unit; NGAL = neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin; RIFLE = a newly developed international consensus classification for acute kidney injury, that defines three grades of severity - risk (class R), injury (class I) and failure (class F); RRT = renal replacement therapy; SOFA = Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score; SIRS = systemic inflammatory response syndrome.