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. 2010 May 5;2:11. doi: 10.1186/1758-3284-2-11

Table 1.

Risk factors for thyroid malignancy. Baseline UK annual incidence for thyroid cancer: 2 - 3/100,000 population [3].

Risk factors Risk of malignancy
Gender [4,9] Male: 2 - 3 times increased risk.

Age [4,8] Less than 20: Risk of malignancy doubled.
Above age 45: Increased risk of malignancy.
Above 70: Risk of malignancy quadrupled.

Ionising radiation [3,10] Latency period is usually 10 - 15 years and mostly occurs 20 - 30 years after exposure.
There is a 40% absolute risk of malignancy for a thyroid nodule in a patient with previous radiation exposure [9].
Low dose: 100 times increase risk of malignancy (lifetime risk).
High dose: 300 times increase risk of malignancy (lifetime risk).

Family history [3] Presence of thyroid cancer in family members increases risk of malignancy.

Tumour size [4,11] The larger the tumour size, especially when >4 cm, or the presence of obstructive symptoms indicates higher risk of malignancy.

Rate of growth [3,10,11] History of rapid growth in a few weeks indicates higher risk of malignancy.

Hoarse voice or vocal cord palsy with recurrent laryngeal nerve involvement [11] Presence of hoarse voice or vocal cord palsy indicates high risk of malignancy.

Cervical lymphadenopathy [11] Presence of cervical lymphadenopathy indicates high risk of malignancy.

Characteristics of thyroid swelling [11] Firm/hard consistency or fixed swelling indicates high risk of malignancy.
Soft, mobile or cystic swelling indicates low risk of malignancy.