Table 1.
Risk factors for thyroid malignancy. Baseline UK annual incidence for thyroid cancer: 2 - 3/100,000 population [3].
| Risk factors | Risk of malignancy |
|---|---|
| Gender [4,9] | Male: 2 - 3 times increased risk. |
| Age [4,8] | Less than 20: Risk of malignancy doubled. Above age 45: Increased risk of malignancy. Above 70: Risk of malignancy quadrupled. |
| Ionising radiation [3,10] | Latency period is usually 10 - 15 years and mostly occurs 20 - 30 years after exposure. |
| There is a 40% absolute risk of malignancy for a thyroid nodule in a patient with previous radiation exposure [9]. | |
| Low dose: 100 times increase risk of malignancy (lifetime risk). | |
| High dose: 300 times increase risk of malignancy (lifetime risk). | |
| Family history [3] | Presence of thyroid cancer in family members increases risk of malignancy. |
| Tumour size [4,11] | The larger the tumour size, especially when >4 cm, or the presence of obstructive symptoms indicates higher risk of malignancy. |
| Rate of growth [3,10,11] | History of rapid growth in a few weeks indicates higher risk of malignancy. |
| Hoarse voice or vocal cord palsy with recurrent laryngeal nerve involvement [11] | Presence of hoarse voice or vocal cord palsy indicates high risk of malignancy. |
| Cervical lymphadenopathy [11] | Presence of cervical lymphadenopathy indicates high risk of malignancy. |
| Characteristics of thyroid swelling [11] | Firm/hard consistency or fixed swelling indicates high risk of malignancy. Soft, mobile or cystic swelling indicates low risk of malignancy. |