Table 2.
Population infection rate | Sample size | Pool size | Low virus detection ability | High virus detection ability | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MLE | Minimum–maximum | % Underestimation | MLE | Minimum–maximum | % Underestimation | |||
1/1,000 | 200 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 0 | 0–10.51 | 99.8 |
50 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 0 | 0–11.35 | 99.9 | ||
2,000 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 0.50 | 0–2.03 | 82.6 | |
50 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 0.50 | 0–2.08 | 82.3 | ||
5/1,000 | 200 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 0 | 0–16.68 | 91.9 |
50 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 0 | 0–20.20 | 92.8 | ||
2,000 | 20 | 0 | 0–0.50 | 100 | 2.03 | 0–6.90 | 98.5 | |
50 | 0 | 0–0.50 | 100 | 2.08 | 0–7.71 | 97.8 | ||
10/1,000 | 200 | 20 | 0 | 0–4.99 | 100 | 4.99 | 0–23.67 | 81.5 |
50 | 0 | 0–4.93 | 100 | 4.93 | 0–20.20 | 83.2 | ||
2,000 | 20 | 0 | 0–0.50 | 100 | 4.14 | 0–10.43 | 99.8 | |
50 | 0 | 0–0.50 | 100 | 4.39 | 0–10 | 99.9 | ||
15/1,000 | 200 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 4.99 | 0–31.77 | 97.3 |
50 | 0 | 0–4.93 | 100 | 4.93 | 0–20.20* | 98.0 | ||
2,000 | 20 | 0 | 0–0.50 | 100 | 4.14 | 0.5–9.23 | 100 | |
50 | 0 | 0–0.50 | 100 | 4.39 | 0.5–10.83 | 100 |
Two of the samples produced all positive pools and were excluded because maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) values cannot be calculated with all positive pools.