Table 2.
Statistical Power of the Binomial-based Maximized Sequential Probability Ratio Test for Different Adverse Events and True Relative Risks, Vaccine Safety Datalink Project, 2007/08
Adverse Event Category | No. of Days in Control Period | No. of Days in Risk Period | Age Groupa | Prespecified Upper Limit of No. of Events | Rangeb of Statistical Power for α = 0.01, % |
||
To Detect RR = 1.5 | To Detect RR = 2.0 | To Detect RR = 5.0 | |||||
Seizure | 8 | 8 | Children | 200 | 18–45 | 64–96 | >99–100 |
Adults | 500 | 57–92 | 99–>99 | 100 | |||
Meningoencephalitis | 60 | 21 | All ages | 150 | 12–28 | 47–84 | >99–100 |
Bell's palsy | 60 | 42 | Children | 50 | 4–10 | 14–34 | 78–>99 |
Adults | 1,000 | 92–>99 | 100 | 100 | |||
Other cranial nerve disorder | 60 | 42 | Children | 25 | 2–5 | 6–15 | 35–77 |
Adults | 1,200 | 96–>99 | 100 | 100 | |||
Demyelinating disease | 60 | 42 | Children | 15 | 2–4 | 4–11 | 22–62 |
Adults | 800 | 83–>99 | >99–100 | 100 | |||
Disorder of the peripheral nervous system | 60 | 42 | Children | 80 | 6–15 | 23–56 | 97–100 |
Adults | 2,000 | >99–100 | 100 | 100 | |||
Ataxia | 60 | 42 | All ages | 80 | 6–15 | 23–56 | 97–100 |
Allergic reaction other than anaphylaxis | 2 | 2 | Children | 200 | 18–45 | 64–96 | >99–100 |
Adults | 400 | 44–84 | 96–>99 | 100 |
Abbreviation: RR, relative risk.
Age groups: all ages, ≥6 months; children, 6 months–17 years; adults, ≥18 years.
Because the upper limit is not always reached, the exact power is unknown. Assuming that at least half of the upper limit is reached, the statistical power to detect a signal is within the ranges shown.