Table 3.
Adverse Event Category and Age Groupa | Influenza Season | No. of Vaccine Doses Administered | No. of Cases |
Upper Limit of No. of Events | No. of Cases |
Self-Controlled Case Series Analysis |
Difference-in-Difference Analysis |
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In Current Risk Period | In Current Control Period | In Historical Risk Periods | In Historical Control Periods | RR | LLRb | Critical Value of LLR | RRR | LLRb | Critical Value of LLR | ||||
Seizure | |||||||||||||
Children | 2005/06 | 317,108 | 58 | 43 | 120 | 133 | 149 | 1.35 | 1.12 | 5.37 | 1.51 | 2.13 | 5.26 |
2006/07 | 415,446 | 51 | 64 | 200 | 191 | 192 | 0.80 | 5.51 | 0.80 | 5.51 | |||
2007/08 | 462,998 | 55 | 56 | 200 | 243 | 257 | 0.98 | 5.51 | 1.04 | 0.02 | 5.40 | ||
Adults | 2005/06c | 1,429,974 | 199 | 201 | 400 | 605 | 724 | 0.99 | 5.55 | 1.18 | 1.44 | 5.54 | |
2006/07 | 1,598,880 | 153 | 160 | 500 | 808 | 933 | 0.96 | 5.56 | 1.10 | 0.38 | 5.62 | ||
2007/08 | 1,742,858 | 168 | 154 | 500 | 965 | 1,104 | 1.09 | 0.30 | 5.56 | 1.25 | 1.98 | 5.59 | |
Meningoencephalitis, all ages | 2005/06 | 1,749,326 | 23 | 87 | 120 | 71 | 319 | 0.76 | 5.40 | 1.19 | 0.26 | 5.11 | |
2006/07 | 2,014,326 | 21 | 53 | 150 | 94 | 406 | 1.13 | 0.11 | 5.40 | 1.71 | 1.99 | 5.06 | |
2007/08 | 2,205,856 | 22 | 71 | 150 | 115 | 459 | 0.89 | 5.40 | 1.24 | 0.37 | 5.17 | ||
Bell's palsy | |||||||||||||
Children | 2005/06 | 317,108 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 28 | 39 | 0.67 | 5.01 | 0.66 | 5.14 | ||
2006/07 | 415,446 | 19 | 15 | 50 | 36 | 56 | 1.81 | 1.49 | 5.24 | 1.97 | 1.94 | 4.92 | |
2007/08 | 462,998 | 16 | 18 | 50 | 55 | 71 | 1.27 | 0.24 | 5.24 | 1.15 | 0.08 | 4.97 | |
Adults | 2005/06 | 1,432,218 | 271 | 365 | 800 | 1,025 | 1,473 | 1.06 | 0.27 | 5.72 | 1.07 | 0.33 | 5.70 |
2006/07 | 1,598,880 | 300 | 399 | 800 | 1,296 | 1,838 | 1.07 | 0.44 | 5.72 | 1.07 | 0.35 | 5.72 | |
2007/08 | 1,742,858 | 311 | 447 | 1,000 | 1,596 | 2,237 | 0.99 | 5.77 | 0.98 | 5.81 | |||
Other cranial nerve disorder | |||||||||||||
Children | 2005/06 | 317,108 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 11 | 23 | 1.07 | 0.00 | 4.53 | 1.57 | 0.17 | 4.51 |
2006/07 | 415,446 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 14 | 27 | 0.95 | 4.72 | 1.29 | 0.11 | 4.68 | ||
2007/08 | 462,998 | 3 | 11 | 25 | 20 | 36 | 0.39 | 4.72 | 0.49 | 4.94 | |||
Adults | 2005/06c | 1,416,883 | 337 | 466 | 800 | 1,172 | 1,582 | 1.03 | 0.10 | 5.72 | 0.97 | 5.75 | |
2006/07 | 1,598,880 | 391 | 532 | 1,000 | 1,512 | 2,051 | 1.05 | 0.27 | 5.77 | 1.00 | 5.81 | ||
2007/08 | 1,742,858 | 374 | 544 | 1,200 | 1,903 | 2,583 | 0.98 | 5.81 | 0.93 | 5.84 | |||
Demyelinating disease | |||||||||||||
Children | 2005/06 | 317,108 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 15 | 11 | 2.14 | 0.36 | 4.49 | 1.10 | 0.01 | 4.41 |
2006/07 | 415,446 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 18 | 13 | 0.48 | 4.53 | 0.24 | 4.81 | |||
2007/08 | 462,998 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 19 | 16 | 0.86 | 4.49 | 0.51 | 4.28 | |||
Adults | 2005/06 | 1,432,218 | 171 | 298 | 600 | 753 | 1,189 | 0.82 | 5.65 | 0.91 | 5.68 | ||
2006/07 | 1,598,880 | 201 | 325 | 600 | 924 | 1,487 | 0.88 | 5.65 | 1.00 | 5.75 | |||
2007/08 | 1,742,858 | 194 | 347 | 800 | 1,125 | 1,812 | 0.80 | 5.72 | 0.90 | 5.76 | |||
Disorder of the peripheral nervous system | |||||||||||||
Children | 2005/06 | 317,108 | 9 | 22 | 50 | 46 | 56 | 0.58 | 5.24 | 0.50 | 5.01 | ||
2006/07 | 415,446 | 10 | 20 | 60 | 55 | 78 | 0.71 | 5.24 | 0.71 | 5.23 | |||
2007/08 | 462,998 | 19 | 27 | 80 | 65 | 98 | 1.01 | 5.32 | 1.06 | 0.02 | 5.26 | ||
Adults | 2005/06c | 569,039 | 938 | 1,524 | 2,000 | 7,893 | 11,642 | 0.88 | 5.95 | 0.91 | 5.89 | ||
2006/07c | 601,861 | 1,007 | 1,482 | 2,000 | 10,212 | 14,918 | 0.97 | 5.95 | 0.99 | 5.90 | |||
2007/08c | 581,324 | 887 | 1,355 | 2,000 | 12,792 | 18,542 | 0.94 | 5.95 | 0.95 | 5.93 | |||
Ataxia, all ages | 2005/06 | 1,749,326 | 13 | 27 | 80 | 86 | 105 | 0.69 | 5.32 | 0.59 | 5.20 | ||
2006/07 | 2,014,326 | 27 | 38 | 80 | 99 | 132 | 1.02 | 0.00 | 5.32 | 0.95 | 5.08 | ||
2007/08 | 2,205,856 | 35 | 36 | 80 | 126 | 170 | 1.39 | 0.95 | 5.32 | 1.31 | 0.65 | 5.12 | |
Anaphylaxisd, all ages | 2005/06 | 1,749,326 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 3.00 | 0.52 | 4.27 | N/A | ||
2006/07 | 2,014,326 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 4.00 | 0.96 | 4.27 | N/A | |||
2007/08 | 2,205,856 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 4.27 | N/A | |||
Allergic reaction other than anaphylaxise | |||||||||||||
Children | 2005/06 | 319,203 | 49 | 52 | 150 | 162 | 122 | 0.94 | 5.45 | 0.71 | 5.35 | ||
2006/07 | 418,081 | 96 | 70 | 200 | 211 | 174 | 1.37 | 2.04 | 5.51 | 1.13 | 0.31 | 5.41 | |
2007/08 | 459,263 | 104 | 70 | 200 | 307 | 244 | 1.49 | 3.34 | 5.51 | 1.18 | 0.58 | 5.37 | |
Adults | 2005/06 | 1,466,842 | 137 | 98 | 300 | 459 | 376 | 1.40 | 3.25 | 5.55 | 1.15 | 0.53 | 5.44 |
2006/07 | 1,635,562 | 156 | 125 | 300 | 596 | 474 | 1.25 | 1.71 | 5.55 | 0.99 | 5.51 | ||
2007/08 | 1,746,619 | 196 | 164 | 400 | 752 | 599 | 1.20 | 1.42 | 5.55 | 0.95 | 5.61 | ||
Expected No. of Cases Based on Historical Risk Periods | Poisson-based Analysis |
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RR | LLRb | Critical Value of LLR | |||||||||||
Guillian-Barré syndromee, all ages | 2005/06 | 1,788,108 | 12 | 15 | 14.4 | 0.83 | 3.57 | ||||||
2006/07c | 1,960,430 | 17 | 15 | 15.1 | 1.13 | 0.12 | 3.57 | ||||||
2007/08 | 2,214,335 | 23 | 20 | 16.7 | 1.37 | 1.05 | 3.63 |
Abbreviations: LLR, log-likelihood ratio; N/A, not applicable; RR, relative risk; RRR, relative risk ratio.
Age groups: all ages, ≥6 months; children, 6 months–17 years; adults, ≥18 years.
Since the statistical tests were 1-sided, the LLR was not calculated when the RR was less than 1.0.
Current season results for these adverse events are presented as of the week the upper limit was reached, not as of the end of surveillance.
Difference-in-difference analyses were not conducted for anaphylaxis, since there were fewer than 25 cases in the risk and control periods in previous seasons.
Analyses for allergic reactions and Guillian-Barré syndrome were conducted after the analyses for the other categories. Because of the dynamic nature of the data source, the dose counts for these categories fluctuated in comparison with those for the other categories.