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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2010 Sep 21.
Published in final edited form as: Biometrics. 2010 Sep;66(3):805–812. doi: 10.1111/j.1541-0420.2009.01363.x

Table 3.

Assessing the impact of the chosen prior distribution on the operating characteristics presented for Scenario A in Table 1. All percentages are multiplied by 100. All combinations have a true DLT probability within 10 points of the target probability p* = 0.20, except combinations (1,1), (2,1), and (4,4).

% of Simulations Selected as MTC Mean % of Subjects Assigned

Prior Parameters Dose of Agent A
Scenario μ ω σ2 Dose of Agent B 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4
A1 4.79 6.78 10 1 2 2 4 3 8 3 3 2
6.32 6.32 2 1 5 10 25 2 8 7 18
6.32 6.32 3 16 8 7 2 9 7 10 3
4 2 4 3 5 1 3 3 12
A2 3.00 6.98 10 1 0 1 2 3 6 3 3 2
6.32 6.32 2 2 6 8 6 3 10 7 4
6.32 6.32 3 5 9 10 5 5 8 12 6
4 4 5 6 5 3 4 6 18
A3 4.79 6.78 5 1 1 3 4 3 8 3 3 2
4.47 4.47 2 3 7 9 23 2 9 8 17
4.47 4.47 3 16 8 6 1 10 7 10 2
4 2 4 4 4 1 3 4 11
A4 3.00 6.98 5 1 0 2 4 2 5 3 3 2
4.47 4.47 2 3 9 11 7 4 10 8 4
4.47 4.47 3 5 13 12 6 5 9 13 5
4 6 6 5 7 3 4 6 16
A5 4.79 6.78 15 1 2 2 3 4 7 3 3 2
7.75 7.75 2 2 5 9 24 2 8 7 17
7.75 7.75 3 17 8 8 2 10 7 11 3
4 2 4 4 5 1 3 4 13
A6 3.00 6.98 15 1 0 2 2 3 6 3 3 2
7.75 7.75 2 3 11 8 7 3 10 8 4
7.75 7.75 3 5 12 14 8 4 8 13 6
4 6 6 7 6 3 4 6 18