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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2010 Jul 1.
Published in final edited form as: Arch Gen Psychiatry. 2009 Jul;66(7):764–772. doi: 10.1001/archgenpsychiatry.2009.85

Table 3.

Young adult diagnoses predicted from childhood diagnoses Percent prevalence, odds ratio, (95% CI)


Young Adult Disorders

GAD
PAN
AGOR
DEP
ASPD
SUB

2.6% (0.7, 4.4)
5.7% (3.0, 8.3)
5.0% (2.4, 7.5)
5.1% (2.8, 7.4)
1.5% (0.2, 2.8)
17.9% (13.3, 22.4)
Childhood dx Prior dx Prior dx Prior dx Prior dx Prior dx Prior dx Prior dx Prior dx Prior dx Prior dx Prior dx Prior dx

Absent
Present
Absent
Present
Absent
Present
Absent
Present
Absent
Present
Absent
Present
OAD
2.6%
3.0%
5.3%
29.2%
4.9%
6.6%
5.2%
3.2%
1.4%
3.2%
17.8%
19.8%
    Unadjusted 1.2 (0.1, 10.8) 7.4 (1.2, 46.5) 1.4 (0.3, 7.3) 0.6 (0.1, 5.3) 2.3 (0.2, 23.4) 1.1 (0.3, 3.9)
    Adjusted
0.6 (0.1, 5.3)
5.3 (1.33, 22.1)
1.7 (0.3, 9.7)
0.6 (0.1, 5.9)
1.9 (0.2, 15.5)
0.8 (0.2, 2.6)
SAD
2.4%
7.6%
5.6%
5.8%
4.4%
17.7%
4.8%
11.4%
1.5%
1.4%
12.5%
16.1%
    Unadjusted 3.4 (1.0, 11.5) 1.0 (0.3, 3.3) 4.7 (1.0, 21.7) 2.5 (1.0, 6.6) 1.0 (0.1, 8.9) 2.2 (0.7, 6.8)
    Adjusted
2.6 (0.8, 8.6)
1.1 (0.4, 3.4)
3.0 (1.1, 8.0)
2.0 (0.7, 5.4)
0.8 (0.1, 6.3)
1.7 (0.4, 7.0)
GAD
2.4%
11.6%
5.7%
1.0%
4.5%
30.3%
5.0%
12.2%
1.5%
0.0%
12.4%
18.1%
    Unadjusted 5.3 (1.2, 24.4) 0.2 (0.0, 1.5) 9.3 (1.2, 70.4) * 2.6 (0.7, 10.7) -- 3.1 (0.6, 16.8)
    Adjusted
2.4 (0.6, 10.2)
0.1 (0.0, 0.8)
10.7 (1.8, 64.5) *
2.0 (0.4, 9.7)
--
1.8 (0.3, 10.1)
DEP
2.4%
8.2%
5.3%
18.9%
4.9%
4.1%
5.1%
4.4%
1.5%
0.0%
12.8%
6.0%
    Unadjusted 3.7 (1.0, 13.7) 4.2 (0.8, 22.0) 0.8 (0.2, 4.0) 0.9 (0.2, 3.6) -- 2.4 (0.7, 8.3)
    Adjusted
2.7 (1.0, 7.5)
4.3 (1.2, 15.5)
0.2 (0.0, 2.1)
0.5 (0.1, 2.8)
--
1.8 (0.5, 5.7)
ADHD
2.6%
2.6%
5.3%
12.9%
4.9%
5.2%
5.1%
5.2%
1.5%
1.3%
12.4%
18.1%
    Unadjusted 1.0 (0.2, 5.3) 2.6 (0.4, 17.6) 1.1 (0.3, 3.7) 1.0 (0.3, 3.4) 0.8 (0.1, 8.0) 1.4 (0.4, 4.8)
    Adjusted
0.7 (0.2, 3.4)
3.3 (0.3, 27.4)
1.3 (0.4, 4.5)
0.9 (0.3, 2.6)
0.6 (0.1, 4.9)
1.0 (0.2, 4.5)
CD
2.5%
2.9%
5.9%
1.3%
5.0%
3.0%
5.1%
5.3%
1.2%
5.2%
11.7%
28.8%
    Unadjusted 1.1 (0.3, 4.6) 0.2 (0.0, 1.2) 0.9 (0.3, 2.7) 1.0 (0.4, 2.9) 4.3 (1.0, 18.6) 2.5 (1.0, 6.3)
    Adjusted
0.9 (0.3, 2.5)
0.1 (0.0, 0.7)
0.4 (0.1, 1.7)
0.7 (0.2, 1.9)
5.2 (1.1, 23.8)
2.3 (0.8, 6.1)
ODD
2.5%
4.1%
5.7%
3.9%
5.0%
4.4%
4.8%
10.1%
1.5%
1.5%
12.1%
21.7%
    Unadjusted 1.7 (0.5, 5.9) 0.7 (0.2, 2.1) 0.9 (0.3, 2.7) 2.2 (1.0, 5.3) 1.4 (0.3, 7.9) 1.8 (0.8, 4.2)
    Adjusted 1.2 (0.5, 2.7) 0.6 (0.2, 2.0) 0.7 (0.2, 2.5) 2.4 (1.0, 5.6) 0.6 (0.1, 3.2) 1.0 (0.4, 2.6)

Analyses are based on N = 838 cases. OAD=Overanxious Disorder; GAD=Generalized Anxiety Disorder; ADHD= Attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder; ODD=Oppositional defiant disorder; ASPD=Antisocial personality disorder CD=Conduct disorder; DEP=Depression; PAN=Panic disorder without agoraphobia; AGOR= Agoraphobia without panic; SUB=substance-related disorder. No significant sex by disorder interactions were found when predicting young adult disorders from childhood disorders.

Adjusted for other disorders from ages 9 to 12. Odds ratios in bold are significant at the p<.05 level.

*

= p<.01.