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. 2010 Jul;5(7):1198–1204. doi: 10.2215/CJN.00020110

Table 2.

Predictive value of temporary renal dysfunction on long-term CKD, using various (small) changes in CKD-EPI eGFR

Cutoff Values No Change Temporary Decline Persistent Decline
10%
    patients (n [%]) 815 (62) 261 (20) 232 (18)
    RR (95% CI) Reference 3.4 (2.7 to 4.1) 3.6 (2.8 to 4.4)
20%
    patients (n [%]) 856 (65) 313 (24) 139 (11)
    RR (95% CI) Reference 3.5 (2.8 to 4.2) 4.2 (3.2 to 5.2)
30%
    patients (n [%]) 863 (66) 337 (26) 108 (8)
    RR (95% CI) Reference 3.5 (2.8 to 4.2) 4.3 (3.3 to 5.4)
40%
    patients (n [%]) 866 (66) 355 (27) 87 (7)
    RR (95% CI) Reference 3.6 (2.9 to 4.3) 3.9 (2.8 to 5.1)
50%
    patients (n [%]) 866 (66) 365 (28) 77 (6)
    RR (95% CI) Reference 3.8 (2.9 to 4.3) 3.9 (2.8 to 5.1)

Adjustment for demographics (age, gender), cerebrovascular history, cardiovascular risk factors (polyvascular disease, smoking, hypertension, diabetes, hypercholesterolemia, heart failure, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease), baseline CKD-EPI eGFR, and BP-lowering drugs (diuretics, angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors, calcium antagonists, and angiotensin receptor blockers).