Table 7.
Results from sensitivity analyses
| Parameter/method | Total estimated (Million baht) | |
|---|---|---|
| Discounting rate | ||
| 0% | 214,053.0 | |
| 3% (Base case) | 156,105.4 | |
| 6% | 126,311.4 | |
| Reduced productivity | ||
| 25% impairment rate in harmful drinker | 164,960.6 | |
| Multivariate -Probabilistic Model | 137,341.1 | |
| Univariate (Base case) | 156,105.4 | |
| Property loss due to traffic accident | ||
| AAF increases from base case 20% | 156,261.3 | |
| AAF increases from base case 40% | 156,417.2 | |
| Base case (AAF = 7.645%) | 156,105.4 | |
| Premature mortality | ||
| Exclusion of non-labour worker (Base case) | 156,105.4 | |
| Inclusion of non-labour worker | 182,695.9 | |
| Premature mortality | ||
| No effect of a retirement age(Base case) | 156,105.4 | |
| Effect of introducing a retirement age of 60 | 116,113.0 | |
| Health care cost | ||
| Gross cost (Base case) | 156,105.4 | |
| Net cost | 155,271.6 | |
| Exclusion of HIV/AIDS | ||
| Inclusion of HIV/AIDS (Base case) | 156,105.4 | |
| Exclusion of HIV/AIDS | 115,160.4 |