Table 5.
Conditional Latent Transition Probability Estimates for Three Cohorts (Young, Middle, Older) Shown as Row Percentages, 95% Confidence Intervals, and Estimated Cell n
| Time 1 Ages 24–32 years |
Time 2 Ages 29–37 years |
|||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No dependence |
Mild alcohol dependence |
Severe alcohol dependence |
Marginal |
|||||||||
| Young | Middle | Older | Young | Middle | Older | Young | Middle | Older | Young | Middle | Older | |
| No dependence | 88% | 88% | 92% | 10% | 11% | 6% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 70% | 78% | 81% |
| 85–92% | 86–91% | 89–95% | 6–14% | 8–12% | 3–10% | 1–4% | 1–2% | 1–4% | 68–75% | 76–82% | 78–85% | |
| 801 | 1113 | 805 | 95 | 138 | 57 | 15 | 19 | 14 | 912 | 1269 | 876 | |
| Mild alcohol dependence | 35% | 43% | 44% | 54% | 46% | 50% | 11% | 11% | 6% | 25% | 18% | 17% |
| 28–41% | 36–52% | 32–55% | 46–61% | 36–54% | 41–61% | 7–18% | 7–18% | 2–14% | 21–27% | 15–20% | 12–19% | |
| 114 | 127 | 79 | 174 | 137 | 91 | 35 | 32 | 10 | 322 | 296 | 180 | |
| Severe alcohol dependence | 0% | 5% | 0% | 59% | 46% | 53% | 41% | 50% | 47% | 5% | 4% | 3% |
| 0–24% | 0–35% | 0–39% | 43–74% | 28–70% | 26–73% | 24–55% | 27–66% | 24–69% | 3–6% | 3–5% | 2–4% | |
| 1 | 3 | 0 | 35 | 32 | 15 | 24 | 30 | 14 | 59 | 60 | 29 | |
| Marginala | 71% | 76% | 82% | 24% | 19% | 15% | 6% | 5% | 4% | |||
| 916 | 1243 | 884 | 304 | 307 | 163 | 74 | 81 | 38 | 1293 | 1625 | 1085 | |
Note. N = 4,003. Young n = 1,293; middle n = 1,625; older n = 1,085.
a
Standard errors are not computed for Time 2 marginals in WinLTA.