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. 2010 Feb 19;118(6):818–824. doi: 10.1289/ehp.0901388

Table 4.

Estimated annual global burden of HCC cases attributable to aflatoxin exposure in HBsAg-positive and HBsAg-negative populations.

Annual HCC cases
WHO region/country Population (millions)a HBsAg-negative HBsAg-positive
Africa
Democratic Republic of Congo 68 1–173 1–551
Ethiopia 85 11–288 21–643
The Gambia 1.7 1–17 3–117
Kenya 38 11–450 44–2,270
Mozambique 21 73–361 111–1,200
Nigeria 149 1,800–2,940 8,200–13,400
South Africa 48 0–79 0–255
Tanzania 41 1–195 1–554
Zimbabwe 13 19–50 68–249
 Total region 755 2,150–9,300 9,230–50,600

North America
Canada 33 1 1
United States 300 8 1–5
 Total region 333 9 2–5

Latin America
Argentina 40 0–16 0–5
Brazil 190 4–930 3–969
Mexico 109 152–924 14–83
 Total region 562 589–2,980 84–2,060

Eastern Mediterranean
Egypt 81 51–452 37–1400
Iran 66 33–56 4–9
Pakistan 172 116–832 119–851
Sudan 41 58–717 140–5,950
 Total region 569 446–3,720 341–13,200

Southeast Asia
India 1,150 438–11,200 331–16,200
Indonesia 237 203–2,820 160–4,340
Thailand 63 307–439 461–1,100
 Total region ~1,734 1,740–17,300 1,460–27,600

Western Pacific region
Australia 21 0–1 0–1
China 1,300 1,990–4,430 5,300–14,400
Korea 50 5–29 6–45
Malaysia 28 40–372 63–588
Philippines 90 333–462 594–2,330
 Total region ~1,740 2,710–6,510 6,310–21,200

Europe
Eastern Europe 290 94–114 61–244
Southern Europe 144 0–56 0–121
Western Europe 183 5–24 1–7
 Total region 617 99–184 62–372

Total (world) 6,280 7,700–40,000 17,500–115,000
 Total annual HCC cases attributable to aflatoxin worldwide 25,200–155,000