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. 2009 Jan 9;18(4):538–545. doi: 10.1007/s00586-008-0867-7

Table 2.

Mean hazard ratios, with their lower to upper 95% CI for all predefined variables and their interaction with early surgery compared to prolonged conservative treatment with possible delayed surgery

Subgroup Proportion % Lower Mean Upper P-value interaction
Overall 100 1.72 1.97 2.22
Age
 <40 Years 41 1.69 2.50 3.66 0.12
 ≥40 Years 49 1.21 1.68 2.32
Intellectual job
 Non-intellectual 36 1.21 1.88 2.92 0.83
 Intellectual 64 1.45 2.00 2.76
Physical demanding work
 Non-physical 61 1.29 1.80 2.51 0.61
 Physical demanding 39 1.37 2.06 3.1
Sex
 Male 66 1.57 2.12 2.87 0.64
 Female 34 1.20 1.87 2.92
Start sciatica
 Acute severe 61 1.40 1.94 2.68 0.91
 Slowly increasing 39 1.27 1.89 2.79
Influence intra-abdominal pressure
 Provocation sciatica 73 1.57 2.10 2.81 0.45
 No provocation 27 1.06 1.70 2.74
Lasègue’s sign
 Straight leg raising >60° 25 1.17 1.92 3.15 0.88
 Straight leg raising ≤60° 75 1.50 2.01 2.70
Crossed straight leg raising
 Negative 41 1.11 1.61 2.34 0.17
 Positive 59 1.64 2.28 3.18
VAS leg pain intensity
 >70 54 1.35 1.94 2.79 0.98
 ≤70 46 1.37 1.93 2.71
Sciatica provocation by sitting
 No provocation 24 0.80 1.30 2.2 0.07
 Provocation 76 1.70 2.24 2.99
McGill affective scores
 Low score <3 49 1.34 2.05 3.00 0.60
 High score 51 1.47 1.90 2.46
MRI sequester
 Contained disc herniation 59 1.40 1.96 2.74 0.81
 Sequester 41 1.23 1.84 2.75
MRI gadolinium
 No enhancement 34 1.425 2.32 3.77 0.60
 Enhancement 66 1.38 1.97 2.83
MRI level disc herniation
 L5S1 61 1.39 1.93 2.67 0.75
 L4L5 or L3L4 39 1.19 1.77 2.64
Preference for surgery
 Strong preference for surgery 39 1.39 2.07 3.09 0.73
 Some or no preference 61 1.38 1.90 2.61
Tingling/numbness pain area
 No sensation 10 1.1 2.3 5.1 0.66
 Sensation 90 1.5 1.9 2.5