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. 2001 Feb 2;1:1. doi: 10.1186/1471-2334-1-1

Figure 4.

Figure 4

Simulation of a cholera outbreak in Community 2 (numerical solution of equation system 1 with parameters from table 2). The simulation starts with 10,000 susceptibles. The arrival of an infected individual triggers an outbreak. Bacterial density in the water (dashed black line) increases as result of human excretion. The epidemic curve (red solid line) starts to decline when the number of susceptibles crosses down the threshold line Sc.