Table 3.
Parameters estimates and goodness-of-fit measures for parametric survival models of the intrinsic incubation period of yellow fever
| Model | Parameter 1 | Parameter 2 | IIP (95% CI) | DIC | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notation | Mean (95% CI*) | Notation | Mean (95% CI*) | |||
| Exponential | rate (λ) | 0.18 (0.14–0.23) | – | – | 5.6 (4.3–7.3) | 298 |
| Gamma | rate (λ) | 1.8 (1.1–2.5) | Shape (v) | 8.1 (5.4–11.5) | 4.6 (4.2–5.1) | 243 |
| Weibull | rate (λ) | 0.016 (0.005–0.034) | Shape (v) | 2.6 (2.1–3.1) | 4.6 (4.1–5.1) | 242 |
| Log-normal | mean (μ) | 1.46 (1.37–1.56) | Precision (τ) | 8.0 (5.1–11.5) | 4.3 (3.9–4.7) | 226 |
*
95% credible interval.
IIP = intrinsic incubation period.