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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2011 May 1.
Published in final edited form as: Pediatrics. 2010 Apr 19;125(5):974–981. doi: 10.1542/peds.2009-1627

Table 2. Hospital responses to >95% occupancy in normative model.

The expected direction of response to high occupancy is shaded in gray, regardless of actual responses. For example, if hospitals were at >95% capacity at midnight, one might expect they would decrease low-severity admissions from the ED, but in this case, only 1 hospital did. Number of hospitals with any size response is reported and magnitude for each direction of response is provided (p <0.05). Units on magnitude (mean increase or decrease) are reported as number of patients, except for the SLOSR, which is reported as change in ratio (e.g. decrease of 0.13 corresponds to a 13% reduction in observed-to-expected LOS) for each 1% increase in occupancy over 95%.

Potential response 1-day lag 2-day lag
Increase Decrease Increase Decrease
# hospitals (n=38) Mean increase (range) # hospitals (n=38) Mean decrease (range) # hospitals (n=38) Mean increase (range) # hospitals (n=38) Mean decrease (range)
Alter # scheduled medical admits 7 0.73 (0.40, 1.06) 1 0.54 (0.54, 0.54) 2 0.59 (0.30, 0.88) 20 1.17 (0.45, 2.37)
Alter # scheduled surgical admits 3 0.98 (0.71, 1.47) 3 0.59 (0.32, 1.02) 0 - 35 1.34 (0.37, 3.98)
Alter # short-stay admissions 11 2.12 (0.95, 4.51) 1 0.77 (0.77, 0.77) 0 - 17 2.50 (0.86, 6.61)
Alter # low-severity ED admits 23 1.38 (0.54, 2.75) 1 0.53 (0.53, 0.53) 20 1.41 (0.52, 3.00) 1 0.34 (0.34,0.34)
Alter # transfers in 5 0.63 (0.24, 1.21) 3 0.95 (0.48, 1.80) 6 0.70 (0.28, 1.47) 6 2.10 (0.28, 4.46)
Alter # transfers out 8 0.35 (0.18, 0.71) 0 - 0 - 3 0.22 (0.13, 0.31)
Alter SLOSR for non-ACSCs 7 0.14 (0.07, 0.24) 22 0.12 (0.04, 0.24) 14 0.13 (0.04, 0.29) 7 0.11 (0.04, 0.17)
Alter SLOSR for ACSCs 9 0.13 (0.06, 0.27) 12 0.78 (0.06, 7.14) 12 0.16 (0.09, 0.34) 6 0.20 (0.07, 0.37)

Abbreviations: ACSCs, ambulatory care sensitive conditions; ED, emergency department; LOS, length of stay; SLOSR, standardized length of stay ratio