Table 1.
Prevalence of selected diagnoses in Germany 2007, 2030 und 2050a
| Diagnosis | Absolute numbers (rounded) |
Relative numbers (per 100,000) |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007b | 2030 | 2050 | 2007 | 2030 | 2050 | |
| Age-dependent macula degeneration [10]c | 875,000 | 1,300,000 (+46%) | 1,800,000 (+102%) | 1,065 | 1,660 (+56%) | 2,574 (+142%) |
| Osteoporosis [11]c | 8,300,000 | 10,200,000 (+23%) | 10,400,000 (+26%) | 10,068 | 13,209 (+31%) | 15,131 (+50%) |
| Arthritis [12]c | 13,600,000 | 15,600,000 (+15%) | 14,900,000 (+9%) | 16,554 | 20,191 (+22%) | 21,606 (+31%) |
| Diabetes mellitus [13,14]c | 4,100,000−6,400,000 | 4,900,000−7,800,000 (+22%) | 5,800,000−7,800,000 (+20–22%) | 4,993–7,730 | 6,497−10,056 (+30%) | 7,185−11,287 (+44–46%) |
| Hypertension [15]c | 34,800,000 | 37,900,000 (+9%) | 35,500,000 (+2%) | 42,367 | 49,035 (+16%) | 51,591 (+22%) |
| Chronic obstructive lung disease [16]c | 6,400,000 | 7,900,000 (+23%) | 7,900,000 (+23%) | 7,829 | 10,259 (+31%) | 11,533 (+47%) |
| Dialysis [17]c | 72,000 | 84,800 (+18%) | 85,300 (+18%) | 88 | 110 (+25%) | 124 (+41%) |
| Dementia [18]c | 31,100,000 | 1,600,000 (+51%) | 2,200,000 (+104%) | 1,300 | 2,092 (+61%) | 3,175 (+144%) |
a
Total numbers, crude rates per 100,000 inhabitants and percentage change compared to 2007 (in parentheses).
b
Prevalence is projected to the German population in 2007.
c
Literature referred to the prevalence rate that is used for the projection.