Table 2.
Incidence of selected diagnoses in Germany 2007, 2030 und 2050a
| Diagnosis | Absolute numbers (rounded) |
Relative numbers (per 100,000) |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007b | 2030 | 2050 | 2007 | 2030 | 2050 | |
| Femoral neck fracture [19]c | 117,000 | 166,000 (+42%) | 221,000 (+88%) | 143 | 215 (+51%) | 321 (+125%) |
| Myocardial infarction [20]c | 313,000 | 444,000 (+42%) | 548,000 (+75%) | 381 | 575 (+51%) | 797 (+109%) |
| Stroke [21]c | 186,000 | 255,000 (+37%) | 301,000 (+62%) | 226 | 330 (+46%) | 438 (+94%) |
| Implantation of pacemaker [22]c | 100,000 | 141,000 (+41%) | 168,000 (+68%) | 122 | 183 (+50%) | 244 (+100%) |
| Cancer (all sites excluding non melanoma skin cancer) [23]c | 461,000 | 580,000 (+26%) | 588,000 (+27%) | 562 | 752 (+34%) | 856 (+52%) |
| Breast cancer [23]c | 59,000 | 64,000 (+9%) | 59,000 (+1%) | 140 | 163 (+16%) | 169 (+20%) |
| Prostate cancer [23]c | 63,000 | 88,000 (+39%) | 88,000 (+39%) | 157 | 231 (+47%) | 260 (+66%) |
| Colorectal cancer [23]# | 78,000 | 102,000 (+31%) | 109,000 (+40%) | 95 | 133 (+40%) | 158 (+67%) |
| Lung cancer [23]c | 49,000 | 63,000 (+28%) | 62,000 (+26%) | 60 | 82 (+36%) | 90 (+51%) |
| Hodgkin lymphoma [23] | 2,000 | 1,700 (−13%) | 1,500 (−23%) | 2 | 2 (−7%) | 2 (−8%) |
| Non-Hodgkin lymphoma [23] | 14,000 | 16,000 (+21%) | 16,000 (+21%) | 16 | 21 (+28%) | 24 (+45%) |
| Leukemia [23] | 10,000 | 12,000 (+21%) | 12,000 (+29%) | 12 | 15 (+29%) | 18 (+55%) |
| Dialysis [17]c | 19,000 | 22,800 (+ 20%) | 23,200 (+ 22%) | 23 | 30 (+ 28%) | 34 (+ 46%) |
| Dementia [18]c | 290,000 | 440,000 (+53%) | 610,000 (+113%) | 349 | 568 (+63%) | 889 (+155%) |
a
Total numbers, crude rates per 100,000 inhabitants and percentage change compared to 2007 (in parentheses).
b
Prevalence is projected to the German population in 2007.
c
Literature referred to the prevalence rate that is used for the projection.