Table 4.

Minimal Clinically Important Differences Considering Certain Predicted Probabilities for Worsening or Improvement^†

Predicted probability	70%	80%	90%
Physician-rated Improvement
VASMD	−2.1	−2.9	−4.2
ECLAM	− 3	− 4	− 5
SLEDAI	− 6	− 8	− 12
SLAM	− 3	− 5	− 7
BILAGLiang	−14	− 19	− 28
BILAGGladman	− 5	− 7	− 10
BILAGStoll	− 8	− 11	− 14
Physician-rated Worsening
VASMD	+ 1.6	+ 2.1	+ 2.8
ECLAM	+ 3	+ 4	+ 6
SLEDAI	+ 7	10	14
SLAM	+ 3	+ 5	+ 7
BILAGLiang	+ 13	+ 19	+ 27
BILAGGladman	+ 5	+ 6	+ 9
BILAGStoll	+ 7	+ 10	+ 15

^†For additional information please see footnotes for Table 1 and 3. Values are predicted changes of the disease activity scores based on discrimination or cluster analysis; rounding to the next integer was done (one decimal for VAS_MD).