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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2011 Sep 1.
Published in final edited form as: J Adolesc Health. 2010 Feb 11;47(3):242–248.e6. doi: 10.1016/j.jadohealth.2009.12.009

Table 1.

Parameters Values Differing Between No-Mandate and Mandate Scenarios

Parameter No Mandate Mandate Reference
Most Likely Value§ (Range) Most Likely Value§ (Range)
Probability Parents are Unaware of the Vaccine 0.4†
(0.1–0.5)		 0.05
(0.03–0.07)		 28
Monthly Probability of Adolescent Visiting the Doctor 0.042
(0.02–0.08)		 0.0498
(0.024–0.096)		 29, 18
Probability of Parent Changing From Not Wanting to Wanting the Vaccine After Seeing Doctor, First Dose 0.02
(0.01 – 0.10)		 0.10
(0.05 – 0.20)		 E.P., 17
Probability of Parent Changing Mind from Not Wanting to Wanting the Vaccine, Second/Third Dose 0.10
(0.05 – 0.20)		 0.75
(0.25–0.80)		 E.P., 17
Probability of Getting the Second/Third Dose Once Parent Decides they Want It 0.8
(0.5–0.99)		 0.95
(0.9–0.99)		 E.P., 30
§

Most likely value in the triangular parameter distribution used in the Monte Carlo analysis.

†

This value was set to decrease exponentially over time. See Appendix for further details. E.P. – Expert panel consensus