Table 3.

Transition Probabilities Among Compartments in the Model with No Mandates

	To Compartment
		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
From Compartment	1	.931	.024	.031	.032	.053
		.905	.020	.028	.017	.030
		.874	.017	.024	.007	.013
	2		.903	.068	.067	.015
			.862	.091	.040	.008
			.818	.114	.017	.003
	3		.200	.921		.088
			.117	.832		.052
			.050	.727		.022
	4				.990	.100
					.957	.043
					.900	.010
	5					.100	.990
						.053	.947
						.010	.900
	6							.263	.815
								.217	.783
								.185	.737
	7							.950	.200
								.883	.117
								.800	.050
	8							.010	.500	.990
								.006	.231	.763
								.003	.006	.500
	9										.135	.906
											.109	.891
											.094	.866
	10										.950	.200
											.883	.117
											.800	.050
	11										.010	.543	.890
											.006	.307	.687
											.003	.105	.452

Transition probabilities from (y-axis) one compartment to (x-axis) another. Yellow rows indicate value specified as the most likely in the triangular distribution used in the Monte Carlo analysis. Least likely (orange) and most likely (blue) values are also depicted.